1. Andrew Wiggins – SF, Kansas
Age: 19
Height: 6’8″
Weight: 197
Wingspan: 7’0″
NBA Comparison: Vince Carter
Despite his surge toward the end of the year there is still downside to Wiggins. While his natural athletic ability exceeds anyone in 2014, his underdeveloped game and lack of bulk pose question marks. Still its hard to pass up a guy with a near unlimited ceiling. He may not be the best player out of this draft Year 1, but he has the potential to be among the top 5 players in the NBA. His measurables are off the charts. With a 7’0″ wingspan and 40+ inch vertical he is on par with Lebron James athletically. His athleticism and motor will lead him to translate his rebounding into the NBA right away as well. Wiggins is really a once in a generation type athlete. When you watch him, he just explodes off the floor when attacking the rim and going back up for offensive boards. In transition he moves like a gazelle, gracefully getting down the floor in a second or two. He should come in right away and rank in the top 3 athletes in the game, next to LeBron James and Andre Drummond.
There is no doubt that Wiggins will come in and be one of the best perimeter defenders in the league. He has the length, speed and athleticism to guard the 1-3 spots right away. One of the more underrated aspects of Wiggins’ game is his shot. While he only shot 34.1% from 3PT last year, he was a freshman who easily could rely on his athleticism. He has a very compact shot form with a quick release. As he gets repetition, Wiggins should be one of the better shooters in the league. Due to his natural ability and work ethic Wiggins should be a top-50 player right away. There are only two doubts about Wiggins, his on-court intensity and his ability to create his own shot. If he is able to add both to his game, Wiggins has the potential to be the best player in the NBA.
2. Jabari Parker – SF, Duke
Age: 19
Height: 6’8″
Weight: 235
Wingspan: 6’11”
NBA Comparison: Carmelo Anthony
It is very tough to pass on Jabari Parker with the first overall pick. The guy came into the NCAA as a freshman and was a 1st team All-American. In truth, he was the most polished freshman I have seen since Anthony Davis and Carmelo Anthony. His game bears a stark resemblance to the latter. Parker already has the size of an NBA player and should be able to play either the 3 or 4 in today’s positionless NBA. His scoring and rebounding will translate right away. Parker’s offensive attack is versatile as he can score from the outside, mid-range and in the post. He showed good range able to knock down 35.8% of his three-point attempts. Although he’s not quite the athlete Wiggins is, Parker surprised me with his athleticism last year. He was able to finish well in transition and around the rim. At times Parker overpowered opposing front lines with his strength, which should translate to the next level. His ability to finish with either hand in traffic is very impressive. He performed multiple spin moves in the post and transition that reminded me of a patented Carmelo move.
As a freshman, Parker was able to post 19.1 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. If Wiggins has the most upside in this draft, Parker is certainly the safest pick. He will be a full-time starter from day one and will likely win the Rookie of the Year award. For an unstable organization like Milwaukee, a safe bet is exactly what the Milwaukee Bucks need. Jabari has the character and production that would be the number one talent in almost any draft. It will be very fun to watch the polished Jabari Parker grow alongside the athletic, yet undeveloped Antetokounmpo. Parker should be a power forward at the next level, who will consistently be a top scorer and rebounder.
3. Joel Embiid – C, Kansas
Age: 20
Height: 7’0″
Weight: 240
Wingspan: 7’5″
NBA Comparison: Hakeem Olajuown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvUuag32OZE
If you asked me what NBA player first picked up a basketball in 2011, I’d immediately answer Raymond Felton. Unfortunately for Felton, it’s newest Philadelphia 76er, Joel Embiid. The Cameroon native has shown significant improvement over the past three years. At the beginning of the year it was a near certainty that Embiid would be staying at least two years to develop. His talent was undeniable but his skills development was questioned. A few games into the season Embiid had scouts salivating to memories of the Dream Shake.
At Kansas, Embiid showed the potential to be the kind of center the NBA hasn’t seen since Shaq. He certainly looks the part as a seven footer with 7’5” wingspan. On the court, Embiid is a very fluid athlete for his size. Despite being bigger than opposing college centers, he often used his quickness to dupe them in the post. His offensive skillset is very impressive considering he first picked up a basketball three years ago. He’s an explosive leaper with good anticipation skills. Embiid was a natural shot blocker at Kansas with upside to improve. Also has potential to be a good mid-range jump shooter, showed good form from the charity stripe (68.5%).
While recent injury concerns (back and foot) have raised concerns about Embiid, there is no denying his talent. These concerns will obviously draw dubious comparisons to previous number one pick, Greg Oden. Its worth noting that Oden’s injuries were major knee ailments that required infamous microfracture surgery. Embiid has had two isolated injuries and now has a proper 4-6 months to heal. After Wiggins and Parker he is clearly the third most talented player in this draft. If you believe in Embiid’s potential, and you believe in your medical staff, you take him.
4. Dante Exum – SG, Australia
Age: 18
Height: 6’6″
Weight: 196
Wingspan: 6’9.5″
NBA Comparison: Penny Hardaway
The man from down under is certainly an international man of mystery. A year ago Exum decided to play professional ball in Australia instead of following in his father’s footsteps and playing in college. His decision led to a cloud of mystery and intrigue as scouts were less familiar with Exum’s game. Exum certainly has game, but is he worth risking a top 5 pick in this draft class?
Exum is a unique talent who is essentially a combo guard with the size of a starting shooting guard. He has good size and length for how fast he can get up and down the court. Despite being built like a 2-guard, he has the vision and passing ability of a point guard. His rare combination of skills and athleticism gives him the upside of a Penny Hardaway type of player. He could easily be the second scorer and playmaker on a championship team if he hits his potential. Despite the uncertainty, it is clear the kind of potential Exum has, and its worth rolling the dice on at number 4.
5. Marcus Smart – PG, Oklahoma St
Age: 20
Height: 6’3.25″
Weight: 227
Wingspan: 6’9.25″
NBA Comparison: Dwayne Wade
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwtFCqyMrz8
While many analysts have Smart pegged as a point guard, I see him as more of an off-ball guard. He has good vision and passing instincts, but Smart is at his best when he is attacking the rim. At 227, Smart is very strong for a guard and uses this to his advantage. Once he gets going he is very difficult to stop going to the rim. Smart also has good speed for his size which makes him devastating in transition.
To go along with his physical attributes, Smart is a tough competitor. At times he can let his emotions get the better of him (Texas Tech shoving incident), but its nothing some maturity can’t solve. You know when Smart is on the floor he will give 110%. Because of his mentality, he is the best perimeter defender in this draft and a very good rebounder at guard (5.8 RPG). The biggest knock on Smart is his shooting, just 29% from beyond the arc last year. To offset this, I believe Smart should look to model his game after Dwayne Wade. He has already displayed a post game in college and is great at attacking the rim. If he accepts the role of an attacking guard he will do more for his team.
At times, Smart seemed too focused on trying to the be the lead guard at Oklahoma St. By looking to score first, he will create natural playmaking opportunities which he can use to distribute. Smart is an intriguing prospect who can be used at the 1 or 2.
6. Julius Randle – PF, Kentucky
Age: 19
Height: 6’9″
Weight: 250
Wingspan: 7’0″
NBA Comparison: Zach Randolph
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dVym9aAo7mU
If Joel Embiid is the prototypical center of this draft, Randle is the traditional power forward. Randle is the most NBA ready player to come out of Kentucky since Anthony Davis. He is also the best pure post player to come out in recent memory. He uses his strength and motor to thrive in the post on the offensive end. While Randle is an adept post scorer, he is very strong to his left hand and needs to develop a right hand to complete his game. He could also start developing a mid-range shot to keep defenses honest, similar to the one that Zach Randolph picked up later in his career.
Perhaps the best part of Randle’s game is his tenacity on the boards. Similar to Randolph, you know that with Randle in the game he will dominate the defensive glass. He also will not give up on an offensive possession. If he misses a shot down low he will go up strong to get the rebound for a second opportunity. While Randle may not be the most explosive leaper, he is strong and relentless which will tire out opposing big men. With his work ethic he should be able to expand his game in the NBA by adding more versatility to his offense.
7. Aaron Gordon – PF, Arizona
Age: 18
Height: 6’9″
Weight: 220
Wingspan: 6’11.75″
NBA Comparison: Blake Griffin
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcI8R8yFfRc
The Magic are certainly going to find themselves on SportsCenter, in a good way this year. Gordon is one of the most athletic players in this class, easily the most explosive big man. He’s already been on top 10 plays numerous times for some Lob City type dunks. However there is much more to Gordon’s game than the highlight reel. Gordon has an extremely high motor on both the offensive and defensive end. He is always running the floor and creating passing opportunities in transition. On the glass, Gordon works hard to create second-chance points on the offensive end. He works equally as hard on the defensive glass, but could work to get stronger and improve his box out.
Despite his highlight reel plays, they often come within the flow of the offense. Gordon is a good team player on offense and allows his points to come to him. When he has the ball in his hands, Gordon can attack the rim and is a solid passer for his size. Perhaps the most reliable part of Gordon’s game is his defensive skills. Due to his size and athleticism, he can guard both the 3 and 4 positions. This kind of defensive versatility could be a huge asset in today’s positionless NBA where teams go small often.
There are still some concerns with Gordon. He is somewhat of a tweener. His handle and ability to create his own shot are deficient for a starting small forward. Against opposing power forwards he would get outmuscled at times. If Gordon puts on some muscle he should be able to become more of a power forward while maintaining mobility. His shot, both from the mid-range and free throw line (45.8%) are something he needs to work on as well. These are things he can work on in the NBA at the young age of 18. With Gordon’s high level of athleticism and the work ethic to back it up, he should be an exciting player for years.
8. Noah Vonleh – PF, Indiana
Age: 18
Height: 6’9.5″
Weight: 247
Wingspan: 7’4.25″
NBA Comparison: Jamal Mashburn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBQ-Wn_R9S4
Vonleh is an interesting prospect who will have an immediate impact on the boards and defensively, but has to improve his offense. He has the potential for a versatile offensive game yet is still very raw. Vonleh shot 71.6% from the line and 48.5% from beyond the arc. He already shows very good shot form and should be able to develop a formidable mid-range game. He definitely has some to work do, but all of the tools are there for the job.
Noah has very good size and length for the power forward position. With a 7’4” wingspan he has the potential to be a very frustrating rim protector. At Indiana, there were flashes of it but too many lapses of positioning and rotational team defense. Vonleh plays with a high motor and will have to learn help defense over time. Where he will be able to help right away is rebounding. Vonleh is a monster on the defensive glass and that should stay the same in the NBA. He is one of the more talented big men in this draft, but will have to work to reach his potential. Vonleh could be a solid double-double guy with the upside of a perennial all-star.
9. Gary Harris – SG, Michigan St
Age: 19
Height: 6’4”
Weight: 205
Wingspan: 6’6.75″
NBA Comparison: Bradley Beal
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqI600_dmo4
To be honest, I’m surprised by the generally lower ratings of Harris around NBA circles. Most of the concern is with his upside. Given how players like Klay Thompson and Bradley Beal have faired in the NBA, I think he’ll be OK. He’s not going to be Kobe Bryant in this lifetime, but how many players reach that kind of potential? What you’re going to get with Gary Harris, is a player who can start right away and play on both sides of the ball. He reminds me a lot of Bradley Beal coming out of college. Both were undersized shooting guards with great shot mechanics, but unspectacular 3PT percentage to back it up. I think Harris will follow a similar career trajectory as Beal and become a second or third scoring option.
As mentioned, Harris has very good shot mechanics. He is best at catch and shoot situations. Harris is very good running off ball screens to get himself open for shots, and can also make plays off the dribble. He displays good form off pick/roll situations as well as pull-up jumpers in isolation. The most important thing he needs to improve in the association is his shot selection. He shows potential as a slasher, but needs to improve his handle to do so more frequently. On the other side of the ball he excels as well. Harris is a very good on-ball defender who should be able contain most opposing two guards. As shooting becomes more important in the NBA, Harris’ stroke will allow him to thrive in a starting role.
10. Shabazz Napier – PG, UConn
Age: 22
Height: 6’1”
Weight: 175
Wingspan: 6’3.25”
NBA Comparison: Mike Bibby
Shabazz Napier is the best point guard in this class, according to me…and Lebron James.
No way u take another PG in the lottery before Napier.
— LeBron James (@KingJames) April 8, 2014
But seriously, there is merit to Napier being considered the top floor general in this draft. He’s not going to blow you away with his potential or athleticism. Basically we don’t have the next Oscar Robertson on our hands. What he will give you is all the things you want out of your point guard.
Things did not always come easy for Napier. After the magical run by predecessor point man, Kemba Walker, Napier had a tough time following the lead. Likely feeling the pressure, his attitude Sophomore year turned off his teammates and the media. Then something changed Junior year. With Uconn banned from postseason play and nothing to play for, Napier was able to lead the young Huskies to a formidable 20-10 record. His determination and hard-work led to him taking a leadership role. This past year he was able to carry the Uconn, against all odds to a fourth national championship. There’s something to be said for the toughness it takes to overcome that adversity.
In addition to growing into a terrific leader, Napier also has some game. Last year he did it all for the Huskies. Despite being only 6’1”, Napier led the team in rebounding with an impressive 5.9 RPG. In addition to leading the team in scoring with 18 PPG, Napier was able to dole out a solid 4.9 APG. While Napier is billed as a score first point guard, I believe he will do whatever his team needs for them to win. His greatest strengths offensively come as a shooter where he scores equally well off the dribble or catch and shoot. Napier’s has deep range and can pull-up from almost anywhere to knock down a shot. He has that clutch factor, and is not afraid to take, and make, big shots with the game on the line. Napier lacks elite speed and quickness so most of his plays come off pick and roll situations. He uses the threat of his pull-up jumper, along with craftiness, to create openings for his teammates. On defense he is a pest to opposing point guards, pressuring on the ball up to the three point line.
There are players in this draft with a lot more athleticism and upside in this draft than Napier. But what he lacks in physical attributes, Napier makes up with mental toughness and leadership. The strongest part of his game, his ability to shoot from any situation, helps to offset his relative lack of athleticism. What you get in Napier is a gamer who can take the big shot and will do anything for his team to win.
11. James Young – SF, Kentucky
Age: 18
Height: 6’7”
Weight: 213
Wingspan: 7’0″
NBA Comparison: James Posey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bYKw3F_PxnI
There is something that I really like about James Young, but I can’t put my finger on one particular aspect. In watching his film, he is good at a lot of things but not great at any one thing. Some pundits have him billed as a shooting guard, but I think he’s a better fit as a small forward. For one, he definitely has the size at 6’7” with a 7’ wingspan. He is a good athlete, but not quick enough to guard opposing shooting guards. I think Young’s greatest attribute is his shot. He has good mechanics and a quick release, which along with his height and length allow him to get his shot off. Young was definitely a streaky shooter, but as a freshman this is expected. His scoring efficiency for a freshman was impressive as he put up 14.3 PPG shooting 47% from the field.
While Young isn’t an explosive athlete, he uses his size and length to finish above the rim. One of his most impressive finishes came in the national championship game when he soared through the middle of the lane. He has the potential to be a good defender, but showed too much immaturity on that end last year. That comes with the territory of an 18 year old. He can also up his game in the rebounding department as he only managed 4.3 RPG last year. Still Young’s ability to score the ball in multiple ways as a freshman was impressive. He will have to work on his consistency shooting the basketball but has a lot of upside. I see him starting as a James Posey type of role player with the upside to be a full-time starter.
12. Doug McDermott – SF, Creighton
Age: 22
Height: 6’8”
Weight: 218
Wingspan: 6’9.25″
NBA Comparison: Peja Stojakovic
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2fpbKYyEOiE
Dougy McBuckets is an interesting prospect to analyze. On one hand he was an elite college player who ranks 5th all time for scoring. Then there are the skeptics who believe his undefined position and lack of defense might keep him off the floor more often than not. After a lot of thought, I think McDermott will make an impact on the floor. I’m still torn between whether he will be a 7th rotational player or a legitimate starter.
The prediction doesn’t come without reasoning. McDermott is an extremely hard worker. Having his dad as a coach certainly helped him understand the game. Doug works off the ball more than anyone in this class. He is very smart at rolling off screens, and lulling his defenders as he finds the little space he needs to get his shot off. His nickname is McBuckets for a reason, he’s got a knack for putting the ball through the basket. He is the best shooter in this class (44.9% from 3PT), who has assassin accuracy to go along with unlimited range. Although he’s not very athletic, his size and off-ball movement help him get enough space to get that shot off. Besides being a marksman, McDermott also impressed me with his post potential. He can finish inside with both hands, showing very good touch around the rim. Throughout his career he’s also been able to establish the Dirk fadeaway which helps him overcome his lack of explosion to create space. He also is an adept rebounder at 6’7″, who boxes out very well.
At the end of the day, McDermott’s shooting ability, basketball IQ and work ethic will help him overcome his lack of athleticism. I can easily see him being a potent scorer off the bench like Kyle Korver and making his way up to a full time starter like Stojakovic.
13. Kyle Anderson – SF, UCLA
Age: 20
Height: 6’8”
Weight: 230
Wingspan: 7’2.75″
NBA Comparison: Boris Diaw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgKDPE8X5IM
The rich get richer. Anderson is the perfect fit for the Spurs, and all they had to do was wait for him to fall into their laps at 30. Nicknamed “Slo-Mo” in high school, there is no questioning why. Anderson lacks in the athleticism department. Instead he makes up for it with a very unique game. At UCLA, he was essentially a 6’9” point guard for the Bruins. Due to being one of the least athletic, Slo-Mo takes a methodical approach to the game. For his size, he has elite passing skills and vision on the offensive end. He uses subtle change of speed and direction, in combination with his size, to create scoring opportunities.
Anderson showed a big improvement in his shooting capabilities both from outside and inside the arc. The improvement of his shot off the dribble will keep defenses honest, as he does most of his playmaking on the move. His size allows him to be an excellent rebounder which leads to quick outlet passes to teammates for fast break opportunities.
Anderson’s unique game wouldn’t be ideal in all situations. He is a below average NBA athlete who could get exposed in one-on-one situations on both ends of the floor. To be most effective he’ll have to play within a system, which fits the Spurs to perfection. He’ll get to learn from the perfect mentor, Boris Diaw, who had a similar game translate to the NBA. One thing he’ll have to work on is his defensive skills as it was a big liability in college. All in all, Anderson couldn’t have landed in a more perfect situation for his skill set.
14. Elfrid Payton – PG, Louisiana–Lafayette
Age: 20
Height: 6’4”
Weight: 185
Wingspan: 6’8″
NBA Comparison: Rajon Rondo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LJ8iFj9CHoo
This is the man who may very well prove me (and Lebron James) wrong. He should probably be rated higher on my board as I think he has the potential to be a top 3-4 player out of this draft. Part of me is skeptical about him playing in the Sun Belt. The other says, hey idiot remember what happened with Damian Lillard? I think he’ll end up being closer to the latter, if history proves true.
There are a lot of things to like about Payton’s game. He is a legitimate point guard, and has great size and athleticism for the position. He’s also an unselfish player and looks to find his teammates first. Being by far the best player on the team, Payton was forced to do a lot of scoring (19 PPG) this past year. But he was also able to contribute to the team in other ways, averaging 6 RPG and 6 APG. Payton does most of his scoring by attacking the rim, which opens up passing lanes for him to find teammates. As a bigger guard, Payton helps out his team on the glass as well.
I really like Payton, his potential reminds me of Rajon Rondo. In a few years he could be a triple-double machine with the way he excels in multiple facets of the game. The one area that does concern me is his lack of an outside shot. Much like Rondo he may have the size and athleticism that he can get to the rack at will. Nonetheless I would like to see him at least add a consistent mid-range shot to his arsenal. If he can improve his shot and be a more aggressive player, he can be special.
15. Jordan Adams – SG, UCLA
Age: 20
Height: 6’5”
Weight: 220
Wingspan: 6’10”
NBA Comparison: Paul Pierce
The Bruins really like these atypical NBA prospects don’t they? If Kyle Anderson is the bizarro point guard, then Jordan Adams is his shooting guard equivalent. Adams can certainly stuff the stat sheet, but he doesn’t have the kind of athleticism that can keep scouts warm on a winter night. Instead, he’s a bruiser who uses his strength and length to get to the rim and finish. He also showed an improved mid-range and perimeter jump shot this year to keep defenders honest. Adams’ work rate is impressive, he is always moving off the ball, making back screen cuts to get open. On defense he is a hawk and is often intercepting passes (2.6 SPG) leading to easy buckets in transition. To be honest, he really reminds me of Paul Pierce. He’s not going to wow you with his athleticism. But he’s going to work hard on both ends of the floor and get his points. Adams gets to the line often and makes the most of it when he does (83.6% FT). He’s not a sharpshooter, but he showed significant progress in his jump shot last year and it will only get better. He doesn’t have the most upside in this class, but when its all said and done he might be the best shooting guard to come out in 2014.
16. P.J. Hairston – SG, Texas Legends
Age: 21
Height: 6’5”
Weight: 229
Wingspan: 6’9″
NBA Comparison: J.R. Smith
Hairston reminds me of someone very dear to Knicks fans, J.R. Smith. The enigmatic guard has wow’ed the Garden at times with his athletic ability and hot streak shooting. He’s also caused numerous counts of nausea due to sheer stupidity. Like Smith, I believe Hairston is a player with a lot of talent but whose mentality can cause more trouble than he’s worth. Hairston has a good outside shot and is very strong going to the rim. He should be a top 10 pick talent wise, but his antics dropped him to the 20s. He got kicked off UNC for accepting benefits from a convicted felon. Just a few days ago he got into a fight in a pickup game in North Carolina. If he straightens himself out, Hairston will be a great sixth man or starting shooting guard int he NBA. But that’s a big if.
17. Zach Lavine – SG, UCLA
Age: 19
Height: 6’6”
Weight: 181
Wingspan: 6’8.25″
NBA Comparison: Gerald Green
Lavine is a very interesting prospect, who almost definitely made the wrong decision by coming out this year. Its possible he was eager for the money, or maybe just concerned about not playing with running mates Kyle Anderson and Jordan Adams. Out of the three there is no questioning that Lavine has the most upside. On a pure athleticism standpoint, he is second only to Andrew Wiggins in this draft. However, he has a long way to go learning the game of basketball. Lavine shakes out as a high-risk, high-reward prospect who could easily be the next Gerald Green of the NBA.
18. Clint Capela – PF/C, Switzerland
Age: 20
Height: 6’11”
Weight: 222
Wingspan: 7’4.5″
NBA Comparison: Anthony Davis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0Z35aXdpdU
No, Capela does not have a unibrow. The comparison to Anthony Davis is based upon his athletic frame and potential. Obviously, Davis was much more advanced at a younger age than Clint. And Capela’s coordination is not as keen as the once shooting guard, Davis. But Capela plays a similar type of game. He is a lean big man, at this point more of a power forward than a center. Capela can really run up and down the court and shows great mobility for his size. His strengths lie in the painted area. He finishes strong above the rim when he gets the ball down low. There will have to be an improvement in his post game to become a consistent scorer. Defensively he has the potential to be a monster. Clint has a 7’4.5” wingspan, with the quickness and shot blocking instincts to go with it. One day he will be a terror for NBA guards attacking the paint. He is a good Euro stash candidate, where a couple years would do him very well. If he can put on some bulk and improve his game, he’ll be a very productive defensive big.
19. Adreian Payne – PF, Michigan St
Age: 23
Height: 6’10”
Weight: 239
Wingspan: 7’4″
NBA Comparison: Channing Frye
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvcswZ40Sv0
Honestly, I feel bad for the kid. How many times do you think opponents are going to tell him he’s in their “House of Payne”? Don’t worry Adreian you aren’t the only one, nobody likes Tyler Perry. As for Payne as a player, he really transformed his game over his four years at Michigan State. He was always a tough player inside, but his senior year he added a legitimate long-range shot (42.3% from 3PT). He is a perfect stretch four in today’s NBA. Payne is a great pick/pop candidate off the bench as he brings a very good shot, and can also roll to the basket. He needs to work on his defense as he doesn’t seem to have natural shot blocking instincts. Adreian is a unique offensive player who is akin to a physically tougher Channing Frye.
20. Tyler Ennis – PG, Syracuse
Age: 19
Height: 6’2”
Weight: 182
Wingspan: 6’7.25″
NBA Comparison: Eric Snow
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=genmjQl8vx8
Tyler Ennis’ draft stock during the year was tied in large part to the success of Syracuse’s team as a whole. He was unrightfully inflated to be a definitive lottery pick and the first point guard off the board. Don’t get me wrong, Ennis has game. But he is most certainly not a lottery pick in this draft. Ennis looks the part of the prototypical, pass-first point guard. He has good vision, but most importantly he is very good at controlling the tempo of the game. He really took over as floor general for the Orange when things really got hectic at the end of games. Ennis doesn’t have much of an offensive game in the way of creating his own shot, but was able to get buckets when it mattered. He showed a decent shot that he’ll have to improve on in the NBA. I see Ennis being a backup point guard or a fringe starter. He may be able to play in some two point guard sets as the lead guard. His lack of real speed or quickness could cause a threat to him being a full-time starter. I think he’ll be a very similar player to Eric Snow. A rock solid point guard, but not at the all-star level.
21. Mitch McGary – PF/C, Michigan
Age: 22
Height: 6’10”
Weight: 263
Wingspan: 6’11.5″
NBA Comparison: Bill Laimbeer
McGary is a talent there is no doubt about that. He really started to get scouts attention his freshman year in the NCAA tournament. He’s a talented big man who has a good foundation of a post game. While he’s not really a leaper, McGary uses his 263 lbs and quickness to score the ball. For his size, McGary has good passing skills when used in the high or low post. Even though he was unable to show consistent production at the college level, McGary has top-10 talent. Unfortunately, a hot start to his 2013 campaign was cut short by back surgery and his college career was ultimately ended by an NCAA violation for marijuana (which he honed up to). Personally, I don’t attribute McGary’s marijuana use while injured to a character concern, especially since he admitted to it. The injury may raise some red flags, but I think it was a good move for a long-term solution rather than playing through it. If McGary can stay healthy he will be a starting center in the NBA one day.
22. Nik Stauskus – SG, Michigan
Age: 20
Height: 6’6”
Weight: 207
Wingspan: 6’7.75″
NBA Comparison: Kyle Korver
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pxrj61gHtew
As you can tell by my ranking. I’m not nearly as high on Stauskus as other draft pundits (or the Kings for that matter). I think he will have an impact in the NBA, I just don’t think it will be as a starter. He has great shot mechanics and a quick release, with very deep range. While he can shoot off the pick and roll, I’m not sure how often the ball is going to be in his hands. He does have sneaky athleticism that leads to strong finishes at the rim. Unfortunately, I just don’t think the ball will be in Stauskus’ hands as much as it was at Michigan. He will be primarily a catch and shoot player, but could easily thrive in the role. As a 7th or 8th rotational player, I believe he will provide scoring off the bench similar to Kyle Korver’s role in Atlanta. He is definitely worth a first round pick, just not the lottery pick he was perceived as.
23. Dario Saric – PF, Croatia
Age: 20
Height: 6’10”
Weight: 220
Wingspan: 6’10”
NBA Comparison: Hedo Turkoglu
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4g3TrEGyCco
I’m going to be a little bit of a hypocrite here and dock Saric a few spots because he won’t play in the NBA right away (see Embiid). However, Saric’s abscence is much different, its voluntary. It was reported right before the draft that Saric signed a two year deal with Turkish club, Anadolu Efes. For a lot of Europeans it makes sense to go over to Europe for a couple of years. The difference is Saric was a highly sought after prospect who STILL went 10th despite teams knowing he wouldn’t play for them for two years. Despite Saric’s decision, he definitely has game. In the Adriatic League he averaged 16.7 PPG, 9.7 RPG and 3.2 APG playing somewhat of a point-forward role. He reminds me of Hedo Turkoglu who had a similar body type/game. Saric is a possibly even a better rebounder than Turkoglu which helps him to get out in transition and make plays.
Age: 23
Height: 6’7”
Weight: 209
Wingspan: 6’10.75″
NBA Comparison: Shawn Marion
Well if the Knicks lose Carmelo Anthony, they’ll be able to replace him with Cleanthony. The small forward out of Wichita St slipping to the second round is one of the biggest steals of this year’s draft. He has good size and athleticism and is a monster finishing in transition. For his size, Early shows very good quickness and uses this to his advantage. Cleanthony is constantly making cuts off the ball and attacking the rim. This past year he really improved his shot-making, hitting 37.3% of his 3PT and 84.4% from the line. He has the potential to be a very good defender at the next level, but needs to be engaged on every possession. The main area of concern is Early’s lack of ball-handling skills. While he has improved, he is still far off from where he needs to be to create his own shots at the next level. Early reminds me of a Shawn Marion or Luol Deng type of player. Very good athlete who can play both forward positions. Doesn’t create a ton of opportunities with the ball in his hands, but is very effective at moving off the ball to create scoring chances. A more consistent defensive focus and three point shot will see Early as a starter in the NBA.
25. K.J. McDaniels – SF, Clemson
Age: 21
Height: 6’6”
Weight: 196
Wingspan: 6’11.25″
NBA Comparison: Gerald Wallace
In most other drafts, McDaniels would be the top athlete in the class. Unfortunately for him there are some world-class specimens in Wiggins, Lavine and Gordon outshining him. McDaniels does tend to lean on his athleticism a bit, but he has improved his game drastically each of the three years he has been at Clemson. His defensive prowess has been his biggest advancement. This past season he averaged 2.8 blocks per game as a small forward. He was also one of the top players in the ACC with 17.1 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. McDaniels will put on highlight reel plays off alley oops and offensive put backs. While McDaniels has learned to better utilize his athleticism, he still has a deficient skillset. I see him being a Gerald Wallace type player who thrives mainly off his athleticism and motor.
26. T.J. Warren – SF, N.C. State
Age: 20
Height: 6’8”
Weight: 220
Wingspan: 6’10.25″
NBA Comparison: Caron Butler
If not for McDermott, Warren would be the most productive college player in this class. The ACC player of the year certainly didn’t lack in the statistical department. Last year he posted 24.9 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Warren does not get his points in the typical fashion. He lives in the midrange area. The most impressive part of his game is that he is very efficient, 52.5% from the floor. Warren uses a variety of moves to get his points. He doesn’t have the upside of other players in this draft but he is one of the most polished. The biggest concern is that Warren is a tweener. He is neither big enough to play power forward or quick enough to be a small forward. Warren’s elite scoring ability should land him as a rotational player in the NBA.
27. Jusuf Nurkic – C, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Age: 19
Height: 6’11”
Weight: 280
Wingspan: 7’2″
NBA Comparison: Zaza Pachulia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18nhrdBMuB4
It looks like Nurkic will come over right away for the Nuggets after agreeing to buyout terms with his Croatian team. He reminds me of some of the old school centers. He’s not explosive; you’re not going to see highlight plays here. What he will do is get the job done. Nurkic is a whole lot of man, coming in at 6’11” and a whopping 280 pounds. He uses his size and strength to work the post on both ends of the floor. Nurkic is a very good rebounder who continuously boxes out, using his physical presence to his advantage. On offensive, Nurkic has some solid post moves. He mainly uses his size to overpower opposing big men. I could see Nurkic being a solid starting center in the NBA with a few years of adjusting to the level of competition.
28. Rodney Hood – SF, Duke
Age: 21
Height: 6’8”
Weight: 208
Wingspan: 6’8.5″
NBA Comparison: Rashard Lewis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-Qxy7CzUx8
Do I have a vendetta against players from Duke? Maybe. They don’t have the best track record outside of their surefire prospects (Irving, Hill, Brand). I like Hood’s potential, but I don’t think he will be a starter. I liken his game to Rashard Lewis as a multi-dimensional forward that can knock down the three ball (42% from 3PT). He also showed flashes of athleticism at Duke with some highlight reel alley oops. I don’t think he has potential as a power forward due to his low rebounding rate at 3.9 per game. All-in-all Hood has potential to be a very good role player in the league because of his outside shot.
29. Glenn Robinson III – SF, Michigan
Age: 20
Height: 6’7”
Weight: 220
Wingspan: 6’10”
NBA Comparison: Trevor Ariza
Robinson’s decision to go back to Michigan for another year looked a lot better 12 months ago. This was supposed to be another great year for the Wolverines. Unfortunately McGary went down for the year with back surgery, killing any potential hope of a championship contender. One of the byproducts of their lack of talent was a glaring need for someone to step up. Robinson is a premier athlete, but was timid in asserting himself at Michigan last year. He will need to be more aggressive and expand his skillset to translate to the NBA. Robinson’s NBA success may be a long-term trajectory similar to Trevor Ariza. Ariza was an athletic specimen, but it took him years to gain the shooting ability and defensive awareness to get him into NBA rotations. Robinson has potential as a long-term prospect.
30. Markel Brown
Age: 22
Height: 6’3”
Weight: 184
Wingspan: 6’8.75″
NBA Comparison: Shannon Brown
Your 2015 NBA Slam Dunk Champion is…Markel Brown. Brown is reminds me of another Brown, Shannon. Both are undersized shooting guards with great hops. Brown had some of the best dunks of the year, showing up on Sports Center last year. Outside of his athletcisim, Brown has improved upon his shooting skills over his 4-year career at Oklahoma St. Last year he shot a much improved 37.9% from beyond the arc. I see Brown being a very athletic spark plug off the bench. He could improve his defensive discipline to get additional playing time. Due to his athleticism, being an undersized scoring guard is not as big of an issue. He should play a similar roll to Shannon and be a highlight reel player in the League.