1. Victor Wembanyama | 7’3″ Alien | 19 yrs | Metropolitans 92

Key Stats: 21.6 points, 10.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 3 blocks

NBA Comps: Anthony Davis, Kristaps Porzingis, Rudy Gobert

Outlook:

Hold on to your croissants.

While being the best prospect in any sport ever is ESPN , Wembanyama has a case for the best NBA prospect since LeBron James.

Even in the “modern NBA” Wemby stands above any of his “unicorn” predecessors. His fluidity and shot making ability for his size lead me to believe he can be everything we thought Porzingis could evolve into.

An elite rim protector and team defender, Wembanyama would likely be a top-10 pick on defense alone. Instead he also adds a tantalizing skillset that sits somewhere between Kevin Durant and Kristaps Porzingis. Whether he can truly be a true #1 option/isolation scorer, or ends up as an elite secondary scorer playing off a lead guard is irrelevant. The fact that easily makes him the top pick in this draft.

Perhaps no highlight better encapsulates both his skill and athleticism than the putback dunk off a stepback 3. Not sure anyone else in the world is even capable of this in live game action.

Pros:

  • Physical specimen the league hasn’t seen yet.
  • True two way player.
  • Elite rim protector, top-10 pick on this alone.
  • Oftentimes will swat a shot, then snatch the ball out of the air.
  • Flashes of self creation at his size is unreal.
  • Can hit stepback and turnaround jumpers.
  • Will be a nightmare to guard in PnR, can both roll and pop.
  • Unlimited upside if 3PT shot is real.
  • Only 2 fouls per 32.1 minutes is impressive for his usage and age.
  • Legitimate rebounder, averaged 10.4 rebounds per game.

Cons:

  • Injury concerns. Not Wembanyama specifically, but tall, athletic bigs seem to be getting hurt recently (JJJ, Chet, etc.)
  • Three point highlights are nice, but he’s not a reliable 3 point shooter yet.
  • Will the isolation scoring translate to the NBA?
  • Limited post moves to take advantage of size (due to thin frame and high center of gravity).
  • Thin frame. Will have to add some weight to deal with the NBA heavyweights (Jokic, Giannis, Embiid).

2. Scoot Henderson | 6’2″ Lead Guard | 19 yrs | G League Ignite

Key Stats: 16.5 points, 6.5 assists, 5.4 rebounds

NBA Comps: Jimmy Butler at Point Guard

Outlook:

Scoot can come in on day one and be your starting point guard for the next 10 years (unless he asks out for a trade). His biggest upside is his competitive fire. Henderson won’t back down from anyone, even the alien above, attacking Wemby multiple times in their two matchups. While he has some struggles shooting from beyond the 3PT line, Scoot’s elite speed and playmaking ability are worth the squeeze.

Pros:

  • Master pick-and-roll operator.
  • Fiery competitor. In two matchups with Wembanyama, he consistently took it at the big man… with varying success.
  • Can instantly come in and be the lead guard for your team.
  • Tight handle and big hands gives him control of the ball.
  • Speedy lead guard who can hit an extra gear to blow by defenders.
  • Really good finisher at the rim, able to create separation with speed and verticality.
  • Proficient at stopping short in the mid-range and hitting pull-up jumpers.

Cons:

  • Limited value as off the ball contributor.
  • 3PT shooting is currently a deficiency, only 27.5%. Trying to extend pull-up range there.
  • Defensive lapses on pick-and-roll at times leading to easy buckets for other team.
  • Can get lost on switches defensively.
  • Will get hunted on switches for mismatches against bigger players

3. Brandon Miller | 6’9″ Scoring Forward | 20 yrs | Alabama

Key Stats: 18.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 38.4 3P% on 7.5 3PA, 85.9 FT% on 4.6 FTA

NBA Comps: Paul George Lite

Outlook:

Miller clearly has a lot of shooting skill and was able to lead an Alabama team that was near the top of the rankings for most of the year. He has the ability to knock down shots from nearly anywhere on the floor using his size and quick release. Miller projects anywhere from a #1 scoring option to an off-ball shooter if his on-ball prowess doesn’t translate.

Pros:

  • Pull-up shooter through and through with good percentages (38.4 3P% on 7.5 3PA).
  • Great catch-and-shoot prospect as well.. 80-201 (39.8%).
  • Shows ISO ability in half court, able to go to turnaround jumper inside the arc.
  • Flashes of capability of playmaker in PnR, hitting skip passes with his weak (left) hand effectively.
  • Fluid hips lead to good shooting coming off DHO and screens.
  • Only 2.2 TO per game impressive given usage (26.2%)
  • Handle and long strides help him create separation to get to the rim.

Cons:

  • Gun incident will be a topic of conversation in all interviews, but seems it may have been a case of wrong place at the wrong time.
  • Great shooter, but not a good finisher at the rim – only 39.3% at the rim.
  • Decent passer, but only 2.1 assists per game. Needed as scorer on this Bama team, can he improve playmaking on-ball?
  • Bit of a liability on defense. Too weak for bigger defenders, too slow for quicker ones.
  • Not a great athlete, lack of explosion evident attacking the rim.

4. Amen Thompson | 6’7″ Athletic Forward | 20 yrs | Overtime Elite

Key Stats: 16.4 points, 5.9 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 2.3 steals, 0.9 blocks

NBA Comps: Andrew Wiggins

Outlook:

One of the Thompson twins. Both are elite athletes, but Amen has a better burst than his twin Ausar. Amen’s burst allows him to get to the rim at will, which gives him a high ceiling as play creator.

Ultimately it’s too difficult to have a top-3 projection given the competition Amen faced in OTE being below the levels others faced in college and the G League.

Pros:

  • Elite burst allows him to create space out of nowhere.
  • Can straight up blow by defenders from a standstill.
  • Insane 74.3% at the rim.
  • Athleticism really shows up in transition, head at/above rim type of vertical lift.
  • Very willing passer, can operate out of the PnR.
  • Can take contact, but mainly acrobatic enough to finish around it.
  • Good at skip passes, finds corner shooter when defense collapses.
  • Vision to find cutters.
  • Defensive upside at point of attack.

Cons:

  • Bit more of a gambler on defense than his brother.
  • Lack of shooting is a glaring issue (25 3P%).

5. Ausar Thompson | 6’7″ Athletic Forward | 20 yrs | Overtime Elite

Key Stats: 16.3 points, 7.1 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 2.4 steals, 1.1 blocks

NBA Comps: Andrew Wiggins

Outlook:

The other twin. Ausar is the slightly less explosive but more skilled of the two. He profiles as a lockdown defender and playmaker at the next level. If he can ever add a jump shot, watch out.

Pros:

  • Lockdown defender potential at point of attack.
  • Wants to be a great defender, constantly engaged on that end.
  • Has the speed to match smaller/quick guards.
  • Smart off-ball/help defender.
  • Upside as a playmaker. Better passer than his brother.
  • Will pickup dribble before paint, knows where he wants to pass.
  • Uses eyes/pass fake to look off defenders.
  • Makes quick passes, knows where he wants to go when the ball gets there.
  • Good extra pass maker.
  • Loves to pass ahead in transition.
  • Good, but not great finisher at the rim.
  • Uses vertical athleticism to hit offensive glass.

Cons:

  • Not a 1v1 scorer, needs PnR and transition.
  • Better shooter than his brother, but still not good. Teams left him wide open and still shot only 29.8 3P%.
  • Needs to add weight to guard bigger wings.

6. Cam Whitmore | 6’5″ Bulldog | 18 yrs | Villanova

Key Stats: 12.5 points, 47.8 FG%, 5.3 rebounds, 1.4 steals

Outlook:

Whitmore is one of the youngest players in this draft, still 18 at the time of the draft. Despite that, Whitmore comes with an NBA ready body and he’s willing to use it. Whitmore uses his size and athleticism to get to the rim and finish. He got off to a slow start on the year, missing the first 7 games of the year with a thumb injury. His numbers are pretty impressive given his youth and slow start to the season, but he has some limitations.

Pros:

  • Impressive combination of athleticism and strength for his age.
  • Aggressive player with violent movements, not afraid of contact.
  • Mismatch at the college level; too strong for smaller wings and too quick for bigger ones.
  • Shows potential of 3PT shooting (34.3 3P%). Can hit off pull-up or off catch-and-shoot.
  • Hits corner 3’s which might be his calling card at the next level.
  • Potential as a pull-up shooter, was able to hit beyond 3PT line.

Cons:

  • Low assists numbers (0.7 assists per game) for his usage (25.6%) is pretty poor for an on-ball wing.
  • Two foot jumper in the paint. Limits his ability to fully utilize his athleticism in the half court.
  • Over dribbles at times, making a lot of moves that go nowhere.
  • Can rack up charges due to physical nature, needs to slow down at times.
  • Lacks touch in the mid-range, no consistent floater/runner.
  • Unsure if he’s a legitimate All-Star or just a super role player.

7. Jordan Hawkins | 6’5″ Movement Shooter | 21 yrs | UConn

Key Stats: 16.2 points, 38.8 3P% (on 7.6 3PA), 3.8 rebounds, 0.7 steals, 0.5 blocks

NBA Comps: J.J. Redick

Outlook:

The best movement shooter in the class bar none.

Hawkins has one great skill that his entire game is based off of. Luckily it’s the most coveted skill in today’s NBA. His deadly movement shooting is maximized by his energizer bunny movements off the ball. Hawkins can be a game changer if utilized by a creative offense playcaller to draw attention off the rest of his teammates.

Pros:

  • Deadeye movement shooter.
  • Constantly in motion off-ball, doesn’t rest for a second.
  • Can rise as soon as he catches, always beating defender to the apex.
  • Loves to shoot off movement via transition and DHOs.
  • Impressive body control off essentially a sprint to the ball.
  • Always seems to be in rhythm, can generate from a standstill.
  • Shooting gravity is real, constantly drew two defenders on off-ball screens opening the middle of the floor for teammates.
  • Unbothered by late closeouts/contests.
  • Has athleticism to attack closeouts and finish at the rim.
  • One-dribble pull-up jumper is counter to a hard closeout.
  • High effort defensive player, not always physical enough to matchup but will always give his maximum effort.

Cons:

  • Narrow frame limits his ability to put on weight.
  • Might struggle against bigger wings and switches on post players.
  • If he doesn’t have free run to the rim, has some trouble finishing against contact.
  • Limited touch around the rim.
  • Slightly negative AST:TO (0.93), can take advantage of attention a bit more on-ball.

8. Kobe Bufkin | 6’5″ Scoring Lead Guard | 19 yrs | Michigan

Key Stats: 14 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.9 assits, 1.3 steals, 0.7 blocks, 1.9 TO

NBA Comps: Slower De’Aaron Fox

Outlook:

Bufkin has been a late riser in the draft process, for good reason. The lefty is adept at utilizing the pick-and-roll to his advantage and has upside as a primary ballhandler.

If he can meld his scoring tendencies with more of a lead guard role, Bufkin can become some franchise’s point guard for years to come. Otherwise he might just be a nice bench scorer like D’Angelo Russell.

Pros:

  • Shot an absurd 71.1% at the rim, ridiculous for a guard.
  • Leans into and absorbs contact on the way to the rim.
  • Really uses the PnR to his advantage to get to the rim; dribbles around hedges, splits aggressive doubles, hits gaps hard.
  • Flashes of lead guard ability out of the PnR.
  • Comfortable shooting pull-up jumper out to 3PT line.
  • Really impressive shooting splits (48.2 FG%, 35.5 3P%, 85.9 FT%).
  • Positive AST:TO ratio (1.53).
  • Only 1.9 TO per game is impressive given his usage (21.8%).

Cons:

  • Somewhat dependent on the PnR to get free looks at he rim.
  • More of a score first mindset than lead guard at this stage.
  • Lapses in PnR defense, but could be attributable to Michigan’s poor overall execution here.

9. Anthony Black | 6’7″ Defensive Playmaker | 19 yrs | Arkansas

Key Stats: 12.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 2.1 steals

NBA Comps:

Outlook:

Black is a great point of attack defender and smart playmaker, using his size to his advantage in both facets. Whether he gets the keys to an NBA franchise remains to be seen, but he can thrive in a secondary playmaking role while providing great defense.

Pros:

  • Intense point of attack defender, has the size and speed to keep up with smaller, quicker guards.
  • Hassles opposing point guards either full court, or picks them up at half court.
  • Quick hands + length = many steals (2.1 steals per game).
  • Lateral quickness to stay with smaller/quicker guards. Impressive for his size.
  • Smart help defender who digs for steals on drives.
  • Can operate the PnR as the primary ballhandler.
  • Always looking to make look ahead passes in transition.
  • Excellent extra pass maker, already knows where he’s going with it before he gets the ball.
  • Loves to dump off to the dunker spot.
  • Herky, jerky pace helps him get to the rim. Plays at his own pace.
  • Uses strength and body to create separation.

Cons:

  • Somewhat high TO at 3 per game.
  • Shooting is the main concern, only 30.1 3P% and was often left wide open.
  • Good, but not great athlete. Relies more on his size advantages.
  • Teams can sag off him, go under PnR.

10. Taylor Hendricks | 6’9″ Stretch Rim Protector | 19 yrs | UCF

Key Stats: 15.1 points, 7 rebounds, 0.9 steals, 1.7 blocks, 39.4 3P% (on 4.6 3PA)

NBA Comps: Jaren Jackson Jr Lite

Outlook:

Hendricks projects as a legitimate shot blocker and 3P shooting threat. Unclear at this point if he would play forward or center long-term. Either way Hendricks presents two of the most coveted skills in today’s NBA with some untapped potential.

Pros:

  • Really good athlete and shot blocker.
  • Lots of chasedown blocks both in transition and half court.
  • Unafraid of posters, great shot blocking mentality. Blocks a lot of dunk attempts.
  • Good verticality in the paint to contest without fouling.
  • Really impressive spot-up shooter for his size, shot 39.4 3P% on 4.6 3PA.
  • Quick and explosive leaper who gets to the rim in a hurry.
  • Putbacks on offensive glass.
  • Quick hands to snag on-ball steals.
  • Flashes of ability to create on-ball in 1v1 situations.

Cons:

  • If he doesn’t dunk, unimpressive finisher at the rim. Just 44.7% on layups.
  • How much weight (213) can he add to his narrow frame?
  • Would be most effective as a 5, but currently only has strength to play the 4.
  • Gets caught watching the ball, rather than boxing out, on shot attempts. Only 4.6 defensive rebounds per game underwhelming for his size.

11. Jarace Walker | 6’7″ Versatile Defender | 19 yrs | Houston

Key Stats: 11.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1 steal, 1.3 blocks

NBA Comps: PJ Tucker

Outlook:

Walker projects as a high-end who makes his living on the defensive side of the ball, with some fluidity and versatility upside on offense. He already has an NBA body and elite defensive IQ which should translate seamlessly to the next level. Some potent

Pros:

  • Strong physical profile (6’7″, 248, 7’2.5″ wingspan).
  • Always seems to be in the right place at right time on defense.
  • Innate Defensive IQ, makes correct rotations.
  • Big frame and fluidity allows him to guard bigger players and stay with smaller, quicker players.
  • Uses frame to his advantage, squaring up with a strong chest, forcing players to shoot over his vertical length.
  • Patient and disciplined, only 2.1 PF per game impressive considering role as defensive specialist.
  • Aggressively and effectively blitzes PnR ballhandler, a popular tactic in the NBA.
  • Improving C&S threat, with simple and compact mechanics. Likely corner shooter in the NBA.
  • Flashes some skill on offense.. runner, passes off the bounce.
  • Makes correct pass on offense.
  • Good instincts on DHO, knows when to keep.
  • Some potential as small-ball 5?

Cons:

  • Not yet a good enough shooter to really make defenses pay.
  • Won’t be creating 1v1 at the next level.
  • Doesn’t create a ton of separation with the ball in his hands.
  • Not much of a mid-range game, can’t hit pull-up jumpers (30.6%) or runners with regularity.
  • Only 19-66 (28.8%) on drives, a bit surprising given his physical profile.

12. Sidy Cissoko | 6’7″ Playmaking Defender | 19 yrs | G League Ignite

Key Stats: 12.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.2 steals, 1 block

NBA Comps: DeAndre Hunter

Outlook:

Cissoko is a bulldog of a defender. He just turned 19 years old and has the body and capabilities of an NBA wing defender, with some upside as a playmaker and corner shooter.

Pros:

  • Love the way he plays 1v1 defense.
  • Has the quickness and strength to defend NBA wings.
  • Able to ride the hip of driving players, using verticality to force tough shots.
  • Strong enough to handle postups.
  • Gets back in transition.
  • Good weakside help defender.
  • Potential as PnR ballhandler, averages 3.5 assists. Nice to have secondary playmaker.
  • Muscles his way to the rim and can score with both hands.
  • Improving C&S threat (33.1%). Likely a corner shooter at the next level.

Cons:

  • High foul rate at 3.3 PF per game.
  • Lots of his fouls are senseless… in transition, in the backcourt, dragging down a defender.
  • Shot needs to improve (only 31 3P%).
  • Shot mechanics need work, feet too close together.
  • Not a natural shooter. Too many air balls.
  • Lacks self creation outside of PnR. 3-13 in ISO and 23.2% on pull-up jumpers.

13. Andre Jackson Jr. | 6’7″ Playmaking Defender | 21 yrs | UConn

Key Stats: 6.7 points, 6.2 rebounds, 4.7 assists, 1.1 steals

NBA Comps: Draymond Green (wing version)

Outlook:

Jackson Jr. is a top tier athlete combined with a willingness to defend on the wing and the vision to be a primary or secondary playmaker. He was the ultimate glue guy, and real lead guard, for the 2023 champion UConn Huskies. Jackson lacks a shooting touch which means teams will need shooting around him to maximize his skillset. In the right environment, Jackson can be an invaluable role player.

Pros:

  • Elite on-ball defender.
  • Can be a lockdown 1v1 defender against NBA wings.
  • Size/athleticism allow him to guard up on some big men.
  • Insane vertical athlete, really pops on impressive transition dunks.
  • Elite dunker and lob threat. 67.1% finisher at the rim.
  • Uses his vertical lift for impressive chasedown blocks in transition and on-ball.
  • Legitimate coast-to-coast player, natural handler who can grab a rebound and go.
  • Extremely selfless teammate, will do anything necessary to win.
  • Was the true playmaker on championship UConn team, wants to run the offense. (4.7 assists per game).
  • Loves to feed shooters with DHO and dropoffs in transition.
  • Operated the PnR at UConn with success, patient to find big man in the paint.
  • Good live dribble passer.
  • Always looking to make the extra pass, sometimes too unselfish.
  • Smart cutter off the ball.
  • Upside in the dunker spot, on a team with a stretch big, or off PnR action.

Cons:

  • Pretty much a non-shooter at this stage. Often dared to shoot by opposing defenses (28.1 3P% on mostly wide open looks).
  • Doesn’t create his own offense despite athletic traits. Only 6.7 points per game. Can be a bit too selfless at times.
  • Opts for his runner a bit often, instead of challenge big men with his vertical leap and size.
  • Got into early foul trouble at times, taking him off the floor for key stretches (2.8 PF per game).

14. Cason Wallace | 6’4″ Defensive Lead Guard | 19 yrs | Kentucky

Key Stats: 11.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, 4.3 assists, 2 steals

NBA Comps: Better Pat Bev

Outlook:

Wallace comes from the Kentucky guard tree which can only mean good things for his NBA transition. Cason is an engaged perimeter defender that any team would love to add to their rotation.

Pros:

  • Makes his meal as an on-ball guard defender.
  • Flies back in transition to contest otherwise easy finishes.
  • Great on-ball defender, often beats his man to the spot.
  • Moves well laterally, uses strong chest to deter drives.
  • Quick hands, gets on-ball steals (2 steals per game).
  • Fights hard to swim over posts and get steals.
  • Looks to make steals on outlet passes.
  • Solid C&S, 35-100 for 35%.
  • Simple, smooth shooting mechanics.
  • Solid finisher at the rim, 64.2%.
  • Good slow to fast acceleration to get to the rim.

Cons:

  • Not super explosive to create space on drives to the rim.
  • Takes wide, high arching layups as a result of not being able to get all the way.
  • Pull-up 3P isn’t reliable, will need to be effective on offense at the next level.
  • Unclear if he can be a starter with limited offense, or just a bench defender.

15. Dereck Lively II | 7’1″ Rim Protector | 19 yrs | Duke

Key Stats: 5.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 2.4 blocks, 65.8 FG%

NBA Comps: DeAndre Jordan

Outlook:

Lively only played 20.6 minutes per game on a solid Duke team this year, mostly due to his high foul rate (2.7 PF per 20.6 minutes). When he was on the court, Lively flashed elite rim protection and rebounding that should easily translate to the NBA.

Pros:

  • Elite shot blocking potential. 2.4 blocks in just 20.6 minutes per game.
  • Emphatic weakside bocker.
  • Good verticality at the rim, can get blocks here due to elite 7’7″ wingspan.
  • Length to bother pull-up shooters in PnR.
  • Great finisher off the PnR, very quick off the floor to flush home dunks.
  • Powerful dunker.
  • Flashes of playmaking off the short roll (1.1 assists in 20.6 minutes).

Cons:

  • Foul trouble. Averaged 2.7 fouls in just 20.6 minutes per game.
  • Despite flashes, currently an unreliable shooter.
  • Only 13-25 on layups, currently relies on dunks within the paint.
  • Limited touch around the rim, only 3-10 on hook shots. Misses some bunnies.
  • No left hand at the rim.

16. Trayce Jackson-Davis | 6’9″ Athletic Rim Protector | 23 yrs | Indiana

Key Stats: 20.9 points, 10.8 rebounds, 4 assists, 2.9 blocks, 0.8 steals

NBA Comps: Brandon Clarke

Outlook:

Jackson-Davis is on the older side, and one of the best athletes in the draft. But, he literally didn’t take a three point shot this past year, and only 3 throughout his 4-year college career. What Jackson-Davis lacks in shooting he more than makes up for in other ways. His elite shot blocking an finishing around the rim, paired with his playmaking ability make him an intriguing option as a 5 at the NBA level.

Pros:

  • One of the 10 best athletes in this draft.
  • Vertical athleticism really pops in transition. When he gets space inside the painted area it’s a dunk (73 dunks).
  • High motor rim runner, always out in transition.
  • Legit rim protector due to elite athleticism and timing (2.9 blocks per game).
  • Impressive playmaking ability for Indiana this year, averaged 4 assists per game.
  • Quick leaper, with fast second jump. Helps him get putbacks off his own misses and offensive boards in general.
  • Can see him being a very solid 5 at the NBA level.

Cons:

  • Literal definition of a non-shooter… 0 3PA this year.
  • Very left hand dependent, especially around the rim.
  • Some issues guarding true centers (struggled with Hunter Dickinson). Will get played off the floor by NBA elite bigs.

17. Leonard Miller | 6’9″ Athletic Rim Protector | 19 yrs | G League Ignite

Key Stats: 18 points, 11 rebounds, 0.9 steals, 0.8 blocks, 55.6 FG%

Outlook:

Miller improved a lot both defensively and scoring wise in the past year in the G League. He has yo-yoed from a top prospect, to late in the first round back to around lottery level. Miller should be able translate his athleticism and surprising skill to the next level.

Pros:

  • Very athletic forward who can finish in transition.
  • Very effective at the rim. 166-299 for 66.2%.
  • Surprising ballhandling ability for his size.
  • High motor as a rim runner.
  • Serious upside as PnR finisher.
  • Embraces contact driving to the basket.
  • Go to move is the Euro step.
  • Lefty that has a righty floater.

Cons:

  • Needs to improve C&S ability (20-95 for 30.5%).
  • Stiff, somewhat mechanical release on his jumper.
  • Gets lost on switches especially off PnR.
  • Bites on pump fakes on shooters a bit too often.

18. GG Jackson | 6’9″ Athletic Forward | 18 yrs | South Carolina

Key Stats: 15.4 points, 5.9 rebounds, 2.7 TO

NBA Comps: Tiny DeMarcus Cousins

Outlook:

Tantalizing talent meets the risk of adolescent tendencies. GG Jackson has top-10 talent but is being held back by some poor tendencies. Of course he is the youngest player in the draft, only turning 19 in December, some of this can be chalked up to immaturity. Jackson will need to prove he’s willing to be a professional basketball player instead of a streetball player at the next level. There comes a point in the draft where his talent is too tempting.

Pros:

  • Really good athlete and fluidity for his size.
  • Ball handling for size impressive, flashes potential of isolation scoring wing.
  • Tough shot maker. Potential as a late clock creator.

Cons:

  • Given the green light at South Carolina and took full advantage, in a bad way.
  • Pretty inefficient player at this stage (38.4%) mainly due to horrific shot selection.
  • Historically bad assist rate (6.6%) for his usage rate (30.8%).
  • Just way too many pull-up jumpers when it’s unnecessary.
  • Off-ball can be useless, just standing there begging for the ball on the perimeter.
  • Defensive lapses enough to drive a coach crazy.

19. Kris Murray | 6’8″ Methodical Forward | 22 years | Iowa

Key Stats: 20.2 points, 7.9 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1.2 blocks

NBA Comps: Keegan Murray Lite

Outlook:

Kris isn’t quite the finisher his brother is, but shares a lot of tendencies with him that make him a smart/low-risk role player at the next level.

Pros:

  • Good finisher, with good touch on his left hand at the rim.
  • Patient driver, gets to rim with footwork and patience.
  • Smart off-ball cutter.
  • Likes to seal his man down the line and finish.
  • Impressive 2.2 “stocks” per game, impacts the game defensively.
  • Helps to have an identical brother that’s already successful at the next level.

Cons:

  • Needs to bring up 3P% (down to 33.5% from 38.7% as a sophomore).
  • Not a quick burst athlete, limits finishing around rim when defenders don’t fall for fakes.
  • 29.6% on contested C&S attempts.

20. Brice Sensabaugh | 6’6″ Scoring Wing | 19 yrs | Ohio State

Key Stats: 16.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, 48 FG%, 40.5 3P%

Outlook:

Sensabaugh is an intriguing prospect who uses his strength to create separation and makes a lot of contested jumpers. The shot selection makes you think Sensabaugh would be inefficient, but the numbers say the opposite.

Pros:

  • Really efficient numbers for a freshman that took a bunch of contested shots.
  • Big frame (6’6″ and 235). Utilizes it to get to the rim, creating separtion along hte way.
  • Attacks closeouts, turns into mid-range pull-ups.
  • Shot mechanics are smooth.
  • Uses the glass for bank shots.
  • Can hit hang dribble pull-ups.
  • Loves the turnaround jumper, can hit even if well contested.
  • Ability to post up smaller wings.

Cons:

  • A lot of his shots are contested to heavily contested. Will his shot making hold up against NBA athleticism/length?
  • Shot delivery can be a bit slow.
  • Negative AST:TO ratio (0.60), tunnel vision.
  • Gets stranded and forces bad shots instead of finding teammates.
  • Gets lost off-ball on defense at times, leaving wide open shooters.

21. Gradey Dick | 6’8″ Spot-up Shooter | 19 yrs | Kansas

Key Stats: 14.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, 1.4 steals, 40.3 3P% on 5.7 3PA

Outlook:

Dick projects as a high-level spot-up shooter, with some movement upside. His porous defense might limit him to an off the bench shooting role, or a coach/scheme that can help his team mask these deficiencies. Maybe similar to how Miami hid Duncan Robinson in the zone during the playoffs.

Pros:

  • Great spot-up shooter. 66-172 (38.4%) on C&S jumpers.
  • Quick, compact shot mechanics that are very consistent.
  • Always ready to shoot pre-catch, speeding up his release even further.
  • Combination of size and quick release make him impervious to late closeouts and contests.
  • Slides into open passing lanes based on pathway of ballhandler.
  • One-dribble pull-up when run off the line.
  • Some flashes of movement shooting off DHOs and curl screens.
  • Quick hands on-ball leads to higher than expected steal numbers (1.4 steals per game).

Cons:

  • Defensive liability, will get hunted by NBA teams. Could limit his role to off the bench.
  • Poor 1v1 defender.
  • Off balance when closing out, defenders whiz by.
  • Slower release off the dribble.
  • Cannot currently create his own shot.
  • Lack of athleticism shows up in other facets of the game.

22. Keyonte George | 6’4″ Pull-Up Shooter | 19 yrs | Baylor

Key Stats: 15.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.1 steals, 37.6 FG%, 33.8 3P%

Outlook:

George has tantalizing pull-up shooting ability, that’s unfortunately paired with poor shot selection and negative defensive interest. Translating at the next level will be a question of mentality and not ability.

Pros:

  • Elite pull-up shooting ability.
  • Can make really tough shots from deep over contests.
  • Quick release and confidence on pull-up jumper.
  • Initiates contact when driving to create separation at the rim.
  • Can stop on a dime mid-drive to create contact/foul opportunities.
  • Crafty handle to get to the rim off PnR.

Cons:

  • Pretty bad efficiency for how good his shooting form is. (37.6 FG%, 33.8 3P%)
  • Does not give effort to get back when the ball is stripped from him. Not a fan of that kind of mentality.
  • For a “shooter”, 32.8% on C&S jumpers is pretty low.
  • Shot not as rhythmic on C&S.
  • Not the most accurate passer.
  • Negative AST:TO ratio (0.97).
  • Lackadaisical off-ball defense will be enough to get him benched if he doesn’t improve.
  • Targeted on-ball by Kansas’ smaller guards.

23. Nick Smith Jr | 6’5″ Microwave Scorer | 19 yrs | Arkansas

Key Stats: 12.5 points, 1.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 0.8 steals, 33.8 3P%

Outlook:

Smith missed a good chunk of the season with a knee injury. He got injured in mid-December and didn’t see the court again until about mid-February. It could have impacted his shooting numbers which were lower than expected for a reputed shooter. Smith still projects as a microwave bench scorer at the next level.

Pros:

  • Good athlete who likes to attack the rim in transition.
  • Good touch off the glass driving to his right.
  • Loves the pull-up jumper going to his right. Especially off DHO.
  • Always wants to take shots down the stretch, in the big moment.
  • Ready to shoot pre-catch on C&S opportunties.
  • Flasesh of effective 1v1 defense.
  • Energetic defender who is willing to extend pressure.
  • Sticks to defender with lead arm up on drives.
  • Sneaky stealer.

Cons:

  • Shooter’s reputation, but only shot 33.8% from 3PT. Some of it can be excused to injury/rust.
  • Takes too many contested mid-range shots, can stand to improve shot selection.
  • Not the best PnR passer.
  • Leaves feet without a plan often.
  • Can get engulfed by traps.
  • Bites too often on shot fakes.
  • Puts in effort on defense, but at 185 gets bullied by bigger wings.

24. Bilal Coulibaly | 6’6″ Long Wing | 18 yrs | Metropolitans 92

Key Stats: 5 points, 3.1 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 0.8 steals in 18.1 minutes

Outlook:

The “other” prospect on Metro 92. Coulibaly can probably thank Wembanyama for the draft attention. Coulibaly projects as a defensive wing, with potential for 3PT range.

Pros:

  • Quickly closes out on the perimeter to contest with his length.
  • Uses lateral feet and length to be a good 1v1 defender.
  • Really good athlete, translates to chasedown blocks and transition finishes.
  • Good off-ball cutter.
  • Driving ability when he has a runway, room to accelerate.
  • Initiates contact, attacks body of rim protectors on drives.

Cons:

  • Not a great C&S at this point, 34%.
  • A bit mechanical with his shot, will have to improve to stay on the floor.
  • More line drive acceleration than quickness.
  • Pull-up jumper is not ready.
  • Handle needs to be improved.

25. Jaime Jaquez | 6’7″ Scoring Forward | 22 yrs | UCLA

Key Stats: 17.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.5 steals, 0.4 blocks

Outlook:

Jaquez was an offensive hub at UCLA with a deep bag of isolation moves predicated on impressive footwork. It’s unclear how those traits will translate to an NBA role, his upside seems to be a scoring 6th man/hybrid forward.

Pros:

  • Good isolation scorer.
  • Great footwork, has multiple moves and countermoves.
  • Fake spin to fadeaway, sometimes to stepthrough, is a favorite.
  • Isolates from the elbow and can methodically take it all the way to the rim.
  • Can operate as the ballhandler or roll/pop man in a PnR.
  • Smart backdoor cutter.
  • High IQ defender, got 1.5 steals and 0.6 blocks per game.
  • Tracks back in transition to contest basket looks.

Cons:

  • Needs to improve 31.7 3P% to stick as rotational player.
  • On-ball defensive assignment is a bit tricky – too slow for wings, too weak for real bigs.
  • Will isolation scoring translate to an NBA role?

26. Colby Jones | 6’6″ Playmaking Defender | 21 yrs | Xavier

Key Stats: 15 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.4 assists, 1.3 steals, 50.9 FG%, 37.8 3P%

Outlook:

Colby Jones has all the traits you want out of an NBA role player. He fights over screens on defense and on offense is a good secondary playmaker and shot maker. If he can consistently perform on defense, Jones should stick.

Pros:

  • 62.2% finisher at the rim.
  • Loves to pass in the open floor, in transition.
  • Upside as PnR passer, can run for second unit at times.
  • Uses change of pace to get to the rim.
  • Really fights and adept at getting over screens.
  • Moves well laterally, should be able to guard 1-3 in the NBA.
  • Strong enough to hold his own on some post matchups.
  • Good spot-up shooter. 42.5% on C&S, 37.8 3P%.

Cons:

  • 27.1% on pull-up jumpers, not a self creator.
  • Somewhat low and slow release on jumper, could be challenged more in NBA.
  • A bit right-hand dominant.

27. Jordan Walsh | 6’7″ Wing Defender | 19 yrs | Arkansas

Key Stats: 7.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, 1.1 steals

Outlook:

Walsh is fairly limited offensively which might keep him on the bench in key stretches of games. However, he’s still barely 19 years old and is clearly a hard worker. With the upside of being an elite wing defender and winning basketball player, I would take a chance on him at the end of the first round.

Pros:

  • Versatile on-ball defender. Can guard 1-4.
  • Great balance on closeouts, rarely gets beat off of them.
  • One of the top point of attack defenders in this class.
  • High IQ defender and player in general.
  • Fights to get over screens.
  • Always makes the smart/extra pass on offense.
  • Just makes winning effort plays.
  • Good instincts on the glass.

Cons:

  • Not a shooter. 16-64 (25%) on C&S.
  • Form isn’t horrible, but lacks natural touch.
  • Not a great finisher at the rim either, 45.1% on layups.
  • High 2.9 PF in just 24.4 minutes per game.

28. Dariq Whitehead | 6’7″ Scoring Wing | 18 yrs | Duke

Key Stats: 8.3 points, 2.4 rebounds, 1 assist, 0.8 steals

Outlook:

A highly regarded prospect out of high school, Whitehead was not handed a starting spot at Duke. He did flash some of the qualities that made him a top prospect, enough so that he’s worth taking in the late 1st/early 2nd.

Pros:

  • Pretty good C&S threat, hit 44.3% last year.
  • Good body control when taking shots on the move.
  • Pull-up jumper extends to the 3PT line.
  • Loves the turnaround jumper, has been hitting it in face of contests since high school.
  • Strength + length as defender helps him guard bigger players and recover.
  • Tries to closeout effectively, but not always balanced.

Cons:

  • Hard for him to keep quicker guards in front on defense.
  • Overcommits to beating player to the spot, prone to counter/spin moves.
  • Miscommunication on switches leads to wide open shots.
  • 43.8% finishing at the rim in the half court is pretty bad for his physical profile.

29. Ben Sheppard | 6’6″ Shooting Wing | 21 yrs | Belmont

Key Stats: 18.8 points, 5.2 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.4 steals, 41.5 3P%

Outlook:

Sheppard was originally a point guard that hit a growth spurt and now projects as more of a 3&D prospect with playmaking upside.

Pros:

  • Good, but not great, movement shooter.
  • Good relocation off ball to get open.
  • Secondary playmaking potential, shows that he has PG experience.
  • Always makes the simple, extra pass.
  • Solid perimeter defender.

Cons:

  • Won’t create much at the rim, limited finishing in traffic.
  • Can get beat by quicker guards and stronger wings.
  • Only 194, needs to put on some wings to defend NBA wings.

30. Jalen Slawson | 6’8″ Defender Playmaker | 23 yrs | Furman

Key Stats: 15.6 points, 7.1 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.5 steals, 1.5 blocks, 39.4 3P%

Outlook:

Slawson operated as an offensive hub for a very good Furman team last year. It was sort of a Princeton offense which required Slawson to thread backdoor passes.

Pros:

  • Physical wing defender who holds his ground 1v1.
  • Not most explosive athlete, but uses timing and length to block shots.
  • Chasedown blocks in transition.
  • Smart rotations to protect the basket.
  • Beats guys to spots to force pull-ups.
  • Quick hands on the ball to force steals.
  • Skilled passer both in live dribble scenarios and when operating out of the high post.
  • Shot 73% at the rim.
  • Decent, confident spot-up shooter, hit 39.4% from 3PT.

Cons:

  • High 2.6 TO and 2.8 PF.
  • Not able to drive going left.
  • Over utilizes the spin move, susceptible to digs.
  • No pull-up jumper, just 2-14 (14.3%).

31. Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 6’9″ Defensive Forward | 20 yrs | Marquette

Key Stats: 12.5 points, 4.7 rebounds, 0.9 steals. 33.9 3P%

Outlook:

Prosper showed his potential as a 3&D prospect throughout the season, but really helped his stock during the Draft Combine where he has jumped into some 1st round mocks. He

Pros:

  • Long, athletic wing.
  • Upside as a 1v1 defender. Hard to score over his length.
  • Should be able to guard 1-4 in the NBA.
  • High IQ, good team defender.
  • Upside as a corner 3PT shooter in the NBA.
  • Solid C&S form that has potential.

Cons:

  • 3PT shooting is more theoretical than an actuality (33.9 3P%) and 31.2% on C&S.
  • Not super bursty/able to get to the rim.
  • Negative AST:TO (0.50)
  • Only 0.1 blocks per game given size and length?

32. Jett Howard | 6’8″ Wing Shooter | 19 yrs | Michigan

Key Stats: 14.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, 2 assists, 36.8 3P%

Outlook:

The son of Juwan Howard. Jett doesn’t play like his old man though, he’s more of shooting prospect with limited defensive ability. He should make an NBA roster, but playing time is questionable.

Pros:

  • Really good spot-up shooter. 38.6% on C&S.
  • Good base, smooth motion on shot.
  • No hesitation, confident shooter.
  • Can hit off movement and DHO.
  • Deep spot-up range beyond NBA 3PT line.
  • Hits shots off pull-ups from mid-range.

Cons:

  • Slow footed on defense, NBA guards will attack.
  • Not strong enough to guard bigger wings/posts.
  • Not very athletic, can get blown by.
  • Doesn’t drive, can’t finish lefty.

33. Jalen Hood-Schifino | 6’5″ Scoring Playmaker | 20 yrs | Indiana

Key Stats: 13.5 points, 4.1 points, 3.7 assists

Outlook:

Hood-Schifino is a bit of a tweener between a wing and primary playmaker. He played the part of lead guard last year and had some promising success in the pick-and-roll. With all the talent at point guard, it’s hard for me to imagine him running a team in the NBA though.

Pros:

  • Consistent mid-range pull-up shooter going to his right. Especially off PnR.
  • Good body control on pull-up jumpers on the move.
  • Good guide hand placement on his shot.
  • Uses hang dribble and hesi-dribble to get to the rim.
  • Patient and physical driver to create space.
  • Strings out opposing bigs then shoots over the top.
  • Effective 1v1 defender against other guards.
  • Fights through screens.
  • Big enough to guard up to wings as well.

Cons:

  • Not a great shooter… C&S, 20-64 for 31.3%. Only 33.3 3P%
  • Misses right/left on corner 3PTs which is not a good sign.
  • Not much of a 1v1 creator, depends on PnR.
  • Ball security is an issue when he gets pressure.
  • Not a great athlete.
  • Slow in transition, squandering key opportunities.

34. James Nnaji | 7’0″ Rim Protector | 18 yrs | Barcelona

Key Stats: 4.9 points, 3 rebounds, 0.7 blocks, 12.2 minutes

Outlook:

Nnaji played only 12.2 minutes per game, but for a legitimate contender in Barcelona. He has elite physical traits (7’0″ and 7’5″) to be a rim protector and lob threat/PnR finisher.

Pros:

  • Good shot blocker.
  • Has good instincts on when to challenge shots. Good patience for his age.
  • Maintains good verticality for his age against drivers.
  • Shot 78.6% at the rim, primarily dunks.
  • Lob finisher out of the PnR.
  • High motor and physicality on the glass.
  • Can finish effectively from the dunker’s spot.

Cons:

  • Lack of touch around the rim if he’s not dunking (4-14 on postups, 2/16 on hook shots).
  • Inconsistent verticality leads to fouls.
  • Still raw, picks up travels and dumb TOs.
  • Quick doubles are very effective against him, slow to get the ball out.

35. Adama Sanogo | 6’9″ Power Post | 21 yrs | UConn

Key Stats: 17.2 points, 7.7 rebounds, 0.7 steals, 0.7 blocks, 60.6 FG%, 36.5 3P%

Outlook:

Sanogo only started playing basketball at 13 years old and has made improvements every year. Over his 3-year career at UConn, he has added or improved on something ever year. His improved 3P shooting and ability to guard PnR as a hedger are prime examples.

Pros:

  • One of the best post scorers in this draft.
  • Hyper efficient 60.6 FG%.
  • Has good touch around the rim, loves to use the baby right hook and is effective.
  • Uses strength to carve out space in the post, then uses footwork and space to get his shot off.
  • Threat on the offensive boards, lots of tip-ins.
  • Added the 3PT shot to his repertoire, 36.5 3P% on 1.3 3PA.
  • Improved 76.6 FT% shows touch could be real.
  • Improved on his ability to hedge and recover in PnR.
  • Has ability to block shots due to length (7’2.75″ wingspan).
  • Love that he improves in one (or more) facets of the game every year.

Cons:

  • Post moves are mainly below the rim, if defenders don’t bite on fakes he’s stuck.
  • Defending PnR will be fully tested, won’t be able to handle most guards on an island.
  • Improved 3PT shooting, but only 1.3 3PA. Will he be able to maintain at the NBA level?

36. Terquavion Smith | 6’4″ Scoring Guard | 20 yrs | NC State

Key Stats: 17.9 points, 3.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 1.4 steals

Outlook:

Smith could have gone to the NBA draft last year and largely been in the same position as he is now. The only thing that has changed is he’s a year older, and didn’t progress as much efficiently as scouts were hoping for. He still projects as a fun microwave bench scorer.

Pros:

  • Microwave scorer who can get hot from deep.
  • Ran a lot of PnR at NC State.
  • Good creativity off the bounce to create his own shot.
  • Bouncy athlete who can finish above the rim, dunks with the left hand.
  • Has the speed to blow by defenders.
  • Reliable runner he uses to score with against drop coverage.
  • Hits a lot of contested shots.
  • Legitimate pull-up range to 3PT line.
  • Effective C&S threat, hit 41.4% of C&S jumpers.

Cons:

  • Poor efficiency. 38 FG% on 30% usage is pretty brutal.
  • Improving shot selection could go a long way to improving efficiency.
  • Limiting his role could see his efficiency and effectiveness go up.
  • Over dribbler, probably has too much of a green light at NC State.
  • Has some trouble on defense with bigger wings.
  • Needs to be wiling to take contact in his chest, a bit contact averse.

37. Jacob Toppin | 6’9″ Athletic Forward | 23 yrs | Kentucky

Key Stats: 12.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.5 steals, 0.5 blocks

Outlook:

Toppin is the younger brother of NBA forward Obi Toppin. Seems the athleticism carried on to Jacob as well. Jacob projects more as an athletic defender and versatile forward.

Pros:

  • Very athletic dunker in the open floor.
  • Gets off the floor quickly in the halfcourt to rise up for dunks.
  • Lob threat you can run plays for.
  • Smart, offball cutter.
  • Can knock down shots if wide open.
  • Flashes of pull-ups from 3PT line which looks more natural.
  • Some upside as a face up forward.
  • Shows some impressive on-ball defense
  • Has the speed/athleticism to switch onto guards.
  • Chasedown blocks.
  • Liked the displays of verticality I saw from him on drivers.

Cons:

  • Only 28.6% on C&S jumpers this year.
  • Not going to be creating for himself.
  • If he doesn’t get to the rim, less confidence in his hook shots.
  • Needs to be a more consistent shooter to see the floor.

38. Julian Strawther | 6’7″ Spot-up Shooter | 21 yrs | Gonzaga

Key Stats: 15.2 points, 6.2 rebounds

Outlook:

Strawther has a very quick release on his spot-up jumpers. Should be a benefit to most NBA teams, however upside is limited by defense.

Pros:

  • Really quick release on his jumper.
  • Shot 62-142 (43.7%) on C&S jumpers.
  • Deep NBA range.
  • Hit clutch, late shots for Gonzaga.
  • Zero hesitation, confident shooter.
  • Good shooting off of screens, 24-51 (47.1%).
  • Hits shots off ghost screens.
  • Able to utilize his runner very effectively in middle game, 50/89 (56.2%).

Cons:

  • Shot is quick but a bit low, might be problematic vs NBA contests.
  • Gets blown by, by quicker NBA quality guards.
  • Overpowered in the post.
  • Sometimes too glued to his man off-ball, gets backdoored.
  • Unable to get all the way to the rim, needs to rely on runners.

39. Noah Clowney | 6’10” Versatile Forward | 18 yrs | Alabama

Key Stats: 9.8 points, 7.9 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 0.6 steals, 0.9 blocks

Outlook:

Clowney has an intriguing, versatile skillset for a forward. A bit of a tweener, not a great shooter or rim protector. But does have switability on defense. You are buying into his potential to be a versatile forward at this point in the draft.

Pros:

  • Most of blocks come off chasedowns in transition.
  • Can (somewhat) switch onto guards.
  • Fluid shooting motion, relatively quick release.
  • Pick+pop potential if he can be more consistent.
  • 67.2% at the rim.
  • Finisher off the PnR.
  • Good defensive rebounder.
  • Good, smooth athlete for his size.

Cons:

  • Might get burnt by faster guards in the NBA.
  • Not much rim protection, disappointing for his size.
  • Missouri hunted him in space.
  • Lack of strength to guard bigger post players.
  • Shooting is more theoretical at this point (28.3 3P%).
  • Only 2 mid-range jump shots all year!

40. Maxwell Lewis | 6’7″ Scoring Wing | 20 yrs | Pepperdine

Key Stats: 17.1 points, 5.7 assists, 2.8 assists, 3.3 TO, 2.7 PF

Outlook:

Lewis is a versatile wing player with shooting and playmaking potential. Playing at Pepperdine, it will be interesting to see how his skills translate against NBA defenses. Has some interesting traits (long wing who can shoot and pass) but high turnover rate gives me some doubt about his upside in the NBA.

Pros:

  • Confidence in his shot, able to hit off the dribble.
  • Can take players in the post.
  • Fluid, smooth athlete who can get to the rim.
  • Able to finish with both hands at the rim.
  • Stepback 3P in late clock situations.
  • 1.6 stocks, uses length to get blocks/steals.

Cons:

  • High 3.3 TO and 2.7 PF are not good signs for translating to the next level.
  • Played in the WCC so lesser competition than others in the draft.
  • Struggles to separate against set defense.
  • Off-ball defense a bit lacking, gets caught sleeping.