1. Chet Holmgren | 7’0″ Unicorn | 20.1 yrs | Gonzaga (Fr)
Key Stats: 14.1 PTS, 9.9 REB, 3.7 BLK, 60.7 FG%, 39 3P%, 71.7 FT%
NBA Comps: Jaren Jackson Jr, Kristaps Porzingis
Outlook: Don’t let Chet’s skinny frame (194 lbs at 7’0″) distract you from the fact that you’re looking at a real life unicorn. At worst, he’s one of the best defensive prospects in this class. At best, he’s everything we thought Kristaps Porzingis could be. His floor is an elite rim protector and team defender, backed up by some of the best defensive numbers of any prospect in this year’s draft. On a per-36 basis, Chet was #2 in blocks and #3 in rebounding amongst all prospects while also shooting 39% from three and 71% from the free throw line. Given his hardworking mentality and basketball IQ, I’d put my money on Holmgren figuring it out.
Pros:
- Defensive basketball IQ beyond his years.
- Tremendous shot blocker. Uses patience and 7’6″ wingspan to block shots. Good verticality.
- Elite helpside defender. Knows exactly when to rotate defensively, covers ground insanely quickly.
- Can defend the pick-and-roll, able to stick with ball handlers in drop coverage.
- Great rebounder, boxes out. For all the talk of his stature, he averaged 9.9 REB in 26 MIN.
- Efficient shooter, hit many trailer threes
Cons:
- Not a true #1 option, yet. Cannot simply give him the ball and watch him score at this stage.
- Definitely too skinny to play full-time center. Needs to put on weight to guard NBA centers.
- Narrow frame might limit amount of weight he can carry despite work ethic.
- Were his stats a bit inflated due to weaker WCC schedule?
2. Jabari Smith | 6’10” Stretch Four | 19.1 yrs | Auburn (Fr)
Key Stats: 16.9 PTS, 7.4 REB, 2 AST, 42.9 FG%, 42 3P%, 79.9 FT%
NBA Comps: Rashard Lewis
Outlook: If you were creating a stretch four from scratch for the modern NBA, he might look a lot like Jabari Smith. Smith looks like a pure shooter in a big man’s body. His ability to knock down shots with a hand in his face, and off the dribble, are by far his most redeeming quality. Can fit into nearly any NBA team.
Pros:
- Elite shooter for his size. Shot 42% from 3P on 6.9 3PA per-36.
- Hits shots over really tight contests.
- Can to hit pull-up jumpers from beyond the three point line.
- Able to operate out of the mid-post with fadeaways and jabs.
- Athleticism is useful in guarding switches, very active on defense.
Cons:
- Not exactly a go-to scorer, has trouble creating on his own at times.
- Wasn’t great scoring around the rim despite his size and athleticism.
3. Paolo Banchero | 6’10” Scoring Forward | 19.6 yrs | Duke (Fr)
Key Stats: 17.2 PTS, 7.8 REB, 3.2 AST, 47.8 FG%, 33.8 3P%
NBA Comps: Paul George, Carmelo Anthony
Outlook: Banchero projects as a potential #1 scoring option in the NBA due to his size, skill and versatile offensive arsenal. Paolo lived up to the hype in his lone season at Duke as the focal point on a team that advanced to the Final Four. For the tournament, he averaged 18.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists proving he can play on the biggest stage.
Pros:
- Most polished and versatile scorer in this year’s draft class.
- More powerful, and patient, than explosive. NBA ready body.
- Able to operate with the ball in his hands in isolation and pick-and-roll.
- Legitimate post threat. Uses his strength and multiple moves to get past defender. Has the drop step and spin move his arsenal.
- Scores at the rim with efficiency at 58.1%.
- Able to hit pull-up shots off his isolation with regularity.
- Proficient passer both in the PnR and operating out of the post.
- Good rebounder, can play at the 4 in the NBA
- Not a bad defender, averaged 1.1 STL and 0.9 BLK at Duke. Can defend the post.
Cons:
- Needs the ball in his hands to be effective, can be a ball-stopper.
- Defensive liability on switches versus smaller guards.
- Lackadaisical at times on defense, not always locked in.
- Needs to improve from three point range (33.8 3P%), but shows touch with 72.9 FT%.
4. Jaden Ivey | 6’4″ Athletic Freak | 20.3 yrs | Purdue (So)
Key Stats: 17.3 PTS, 4.9 REB, 3.3 AST, 46 FG%, 35.8 3P%, 74.4 FT%
NBA Comps: Ja Morant, Donovan Mitchell
Outlook: Ivey took a large leap in productivity from year one to year two. While he might resemble Ja Morant when he’s flying through the air, Ivey isn’t near the same level play-maker. He’s more suited to a Donovan Mitchell type combo guard role than a full-time starting point guard. A surefire NBA starter, his All-Star ceiling depends on his continued improvement shooting off the dribble and play-making. If Ivey can develop a mid-range game he’d be virtually unstoppable.
Pros:
- Built for speed, not for comfort. 0 to 100, real quick.
- Insane athlete, on the Ja level of explosion. Throws down hammer dunks in transition and in the half court with space.
- Can beat defenders off the dribble purely with his acceleration.
- Great finisher at the rim at 58.8%. Acrobatic and creative when in the air, crazy adjustments.
- Improved 3PT shooter from Freshman (25.8 3P%) to Sophomore (35.8 3P%) year, hopefully he can continue the trend.
- Potential as a primary ball handler, ran pick-and-roll sets for Purdue.
Cons:
- Shooting is improved, but more of a catch and shoot player than off the dribble at this point.
- Not a true point guard, but also not an isolation two guard. Likely a secondary play-maker/scorer at the start.
- Lacking nuance to his game, especially in the mid-range.
5. Keegan Murray | 6’8″ Skilled Big | 21.6 yrs | Iowa (So)
Key Stas: 23.5 PTS, 8.7 REB, 1.3 STL, 1.9 BLK, 55.4 FG%, 39.8 3P%, 74.7 FT%
NBA Comps: Al Horford
Outlook: Keegan Murray is the darling of statistical nerds ever, putting up a dominant season on paper with a 37.8 PER. Murray projects as a hybrid forward who can shoot, score in the post and rebound. He’ll be a good NBA player, the question is whether he can be an All-Star at this range.
Pros:
- Had one of the most efficient years in all of college basketball on paper.
- Good defensive stats averaging 1.3 STL and 1.9 BLK per game.
- Fights in the post, is able to finish through tough contact.
- Good shooting for his size, has good form.
- Showed ability to hit pull-up jumpers off the dribble.
- Very patient and deliberate player. Only averaged 1.1 TO per game despite scoring 23.5 PTS.
- Very good rebounder, averaged 8.7.
Cons:
- Difficulty getting separation off the dribble.
- Lots of his baskets came from slow, methodical backdowns.
- Not sure if he’s able to create his own shot, a bit concerning this high in the draft.
6. Shaedon Sharpe | 6’5″ Athletic Wing | 19 yrs | Kentucky (Fr)
Key Stats: N/A
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Shaedon Sharpe is undoubtedly the domestic man of mystery in this year’s draft class. Originally ranked as the #1 prospect in the 2022 High School Class, Sharpe decided to reclassify to 2021, apparently so he could practice with the Kentucky Wildcats. While there is temptation to think you’d be getting a potential #1 pick a year early at a bargain range of #4-7, there is certainly risk. Remember when Emoni Bates was the next big thing?
Reviewing the past 10 years of #1 prospects, its apparent the rankings are a bit of a mixed bag. Cunningham, Simmons and Davis seem to have translated well to the NBA but Bagley, Jackson and Okafor were busts. A lot of his evaluation will come down to work he does with teams. From the outside looking in, it’s seemingly a flip of the coin. Sharpe does flash star-level talent on tape and could be worth the gamble outside of the top 3-4 prospects.
Year | #1 Prospect |
---|---|
2021 | Chet Holmgren |
2020 | Cade Cunningham |
2019 | James Wiseman |
2018 | RJ Barrett |
2017 | Marvin Bagley |
2016 | Josh Jackson |
2015 | Ben Simmons |
2014 | Jahlil Okafor |
2013 | Andrew Wiggins |
2012 | Nerlens Noel |
2011 | Anthony Davis |
2010 | Harrison Barnes |
Pros:
- Limited tape shows great athleticism.
- Seems to have added a good shot to his game.
Cons:
- Biggest unknown amongst the top prospects. Didn’t play 1 minute of basketball for Kentucky.
- Only has tape against high school opponents.
7. Bennedict Mathurin | 6’6″ Athletic Shooter | 20 yrs | Arizona (So)
Key Stats: 17.7 PTS, 5.6 REB, 2.5 AST, 45 FG%, 36.9 3P%, 76.4 FT%
NBA Comps: Andrew Wiggins
Outlook: Mathurin took what he did his Freshman year at performed it at a higher volume his Sophomore season. He was the best scorer on an Arizona team that finished the season #2 in the AP poll. He’s primarily a shooter who can hit off the move better than anyone in this class, and saw many NBA actions in college. Should translate seamlessly.
Pros:
- On top of his shooting ability, a really good athlete. Can finish above the rim in transition.
- Was featured in all types of NBA actions.
- Somehow seems to elevate higher when catching the ball in motion, makes his shot unblockable.
- Smooth, consistent shooting motion.
- Came of screens and baseline curls consistently at Arizona.
- Basically doesn’t miss spot up shots.
Cons:
- Probably not a great creator, although there’s potential there.
- Not as good of a defender as his athleticism would suggest.
8. Mark Williams | 7’2″ Rim Protector | 20.5 yrs | Duke (So)
Key Stats: 11.2 PTS, 7.4 REB, 2.8 BLK, 72.1 FG%, 72.7 FT%
NBA Comps: Roy Hibbert, Rudy Gobert
Outlook: Mark Williams looked like a monstrous freak on the eye test for Duke last season, and that was backed up at the NBA combine. He tested with a 9’9″ standing reach, second only to Tacko Fall all-time and beating out Rudy Gobert’s then record of 9’7″. He put it to good use at at the collegiate level averaging 4.3 blocks per-36 minutes, third among all prospects. Williams also had the highest FG% of any prospect at 72.1%, 8% more than the next closest individual. While some say the center position is the least valuable, Williams projects to be a special rim protector and finisher, but also has some touch to go along with it. His physical presence at Duke was apparent and if Rudy Gobert is any indicator, it will continue at the next level.
Pros:
- Freaking 9’9″ standing reach!
- Elite shot blocking prospect, so easy for him to swat shots with his reach.
- Good patience on the defensive end, doesn’t fall for fakes easily.
- Able to cover guards in drop coverage and off pick-and-roll switches. This is huge for a guy his size.
- 72.7% FT shooting is very impressive for his size.
- Elite lob threat and in the dunker’s spot on offense, finishes with authority.
- Good rebounder, averaging 11.3 per-36.
Cons:
- Not a 3 PT threat, but some mid-range touch.
- Did get into a bit of foul trouble at Duke at times.
9. Dyson Daniels | 6’7.5″ Defensive Play-maker | 19.3 yrs | G League Ignite
Key Stats: 11.3 PTS, 6.2 REB, 4.4 AST, 1.9 STL, 44.9 FG%, 25.5 3P%, 73.7 FT%
NBA Comps: Kyle Anderson
Outlook: Dyson Daniels isn’t the #1 or even #2 option on a championship team, but he’s the kind of #3 glue guy you need to take you to the next level. Daniels is a selfless creator who ideally will be a primary playmaker at the next level. He’s also a top-level perimeter defender who should be able to guard 1-4. Daniels the kind of guy you want on your team.
Pros:
- Can guard 1-4 positions due to his size, athleticism and defensive IQ.
- Very active defender, doesn’t allow you to cut off the ball.
- Upside to be the primary play-maker in time. Patient in the PNR.
- Shows semblance of an elite floater.
- 57.1% finisher at the rim.
- Despite poor 3P shooting numbers, believe the shot is fixable.
Cons:
- Three point shooting numbers were pretty bad. You have to believe in his mechanics.
- If he doesn’t become your lead guard, role is unclear.
- Doesn’t get to the line often, avoids contact.
10. Jalen Duren | 6’11” Power Center | 18.6 yrs | Memphis (Fr)
Key Stats: PTS, REB, AST, FG%, 3P%, FT%
NBA Comps: Dwight Howard
Outlook: Duren is one of the youngest player in this draft, and played on a young Memphis team that made it to the NCAA tournament. He’s already got an NBA body and can contribute right away defensively and on the boards. Tough call between him and Mark Williams for the top spot, but gave it to Williams due to his elite length.
Pros:
- Second youngest player in the draft.
- NBA ready body at his age is pretty impressive. Already weighs 250 of mostly muscle.
- Very strong, can absorb contact when going vertical, can defend other post players.
- Can hold his own on switches due to athleticism.
- Runs in transition, good rim runner.
- Very good rebounder due to his size and leaping ability. Especially likes to get after it on the offensive boards.
- Lob threat.
Cons:
- Not much offensively outside of lobs and rim runs.
- Had some trouble with touch finishing around the rim.
11. Kennedy Chandler | 6’0.5″ Lead Guard | 19.8 yrs | Tennessee (Fr)
Key Stats: 13.9 PTS, 4.7 AST, 2.2 STL, 55.4 FG%, 39.1 3P%, 60.6 FT%
NBA Comps: Chris Paul
Outlook: Kennedy Chandler overcame a rough start to the season to look like the top point guard he was projected as coming out of high school. Sure he’s the shortest player to attend the NBA draft combine, but that hasn’t stopped current NBA players such as Chris Paul, Fred VanVleet and Jalen Brunson from being successful at the next level. Chandler’s quickness and athleticism, paired with his ability to operate the pick-and-roll make him the top point guard prospect in this year’s class.
Pros:
- One of the quicker players in the draft.
- Best max vertical leap at the combine, 41.5″.
- Third in steals per-36 among prospects with 2.6 STL. Quick hands and 6.5.5″ length help here.
- Hits mid-range pull-up shots when teams go under in PNR.
- Very good operator out of the PNR, ran a lot at Tennessee.
Cons:
- Only 6’0.5″ in shoes, the shortest among all prospects.
- Poor free-throw shooting is a bit glaring – 60.6% FT.
- Needs to improve his pull-up three pointer.
- Will get hunted on switches due to his size, needs to hold up.
12. Malaki Branham | 6’5.5″ Pull-Up Jump Shooter | 19.1 yrs | Ohio State (Fr)
Key Stats: 13.7 PTS, 3.6 REB, 2 AST, 49.8 FG%, 41.6 3P%, 83.3 FT%
NBA Comps: CJ McCollum
Outlook: Branham is unexpectedly projected as a lottery pick this year after a rough start. He really came on later in the year, and visibly started to become the go to option at an Ohio State team that has E.J. Liddell. Had all-around good shooting numbers for a freshman, definitely has that touch.
Pros:
- One of the better all-around jump shooters in the class.
- Produces a clean, balanced jumper abruptly off a hard dribble.
- Mid-range maestro, finesses into separation.
- Shot well from three despite label as a mid-range shooter.
- Very patient in PNR/around screens for a freshman, waits for that bit of daylight.
Cons:
- Relied on screens to create space/opportunities at Ohio State.
- Not quick enough to blow by defenders.
- Doesn’t always finish strong at the rim, takes wide angles.
13. A.J. Griffin | 6’6″ Shooting Specialist | 18.8 yrs | Duke (Fr)
Key Stats: 10.4 PTS, 3.9 REB, 49.3 FG%, 44.7 3P%, 79.2 FT%
NBA Comps: Jimmy Butler
Outlook: Griffin was a pleasant surprise at Duke, playing the role of knockdown shooter, while flashing the ability to shoot off the dribble as well. Unfortunately he seemed to lack some of the athleticism he flashed on tape in high school, but that may be residual from a couple of knee sprains he endured. If he can recapture that athleticism and stay healthy he has top-10 upside in ths draft.
Pros:
- Highest three point percentage (44.7 3P%) out of all collegiate prospects on 6.2 3PA per-36.
- Elite catch and shoot prospect, moves well off the ball.
- Flashes of dribble moves that turn into pull-up jumpers from deep. Stepbacks going to his left looked smooth.
- Uses strength to get to the rim when he finds an opening.
Cons:
- Not overly athletic, not blowing by guys.
- Poor 1 v 1 defense is concerning, will need to improve to stay on the floor more.
- Wide base on shooting form, didn’t seem to negatively impact numbers though.
- Multiple lower leg injuries in high school seem to have hindered his athleticism.
14. TyTy Washington | 6’3.75″ Pass First Guard | 20.6 yrs | Kentucky (Fr)
Key Stats: PTS, REB, AST, FG%, 3P%, FT%
NBA Comps: Tyus Jones
Outlook: TyTy had sort of an uncomfortable year at Kentucky where he seemingly played off the ball from his natural point guard position. He also got injured in the second half of the season which seemed to impact his play a bit. However, TyTy is really a point guard with good vision and basketball IQ who should improve any team he goes to. His experience off the ball at Kentucky should only help his versatility.
Pros:
- Didn’t get to show his full potential at Kentucky with injury in second half of the season.
- Really good passer and feel for the game, he’s a point guard.
- Fourth best AST/TO in the draft class at 2.44.
- Has a good pull-up jumper as the ball-handler in the PNR.
- Quick release on his shot. Can shoot off the ball.
Cons:
- Not that explosive, difficult to get separation on his own.
- Just an ok defender.
15. Tari Eason | 6’8″ Athletic Wing | 21.1 yrs | LSU (So)
Key Stats: 16.9 PTS, 6.6 REB, 1.9 STL, 1.1 BLK, 52.1 FG%, 35.9 3P%, 80.3 FT%
NBA Comps: Marcus Morris
Outlook: Tari Eason is one of the most interesting prospects in this year’s class. On one hand he put up monster defensive stats, putting him on his own level amongst non-bigs. On the other, he had one of the worst AST/TO ratios in the class. Despite his very good shooting numbers, there is doubt about it translating at the next level. At this point in the draft, I’m betting on Eason’s insane athleticism and defensive numbers. If his shooting pans out he could be the ultimate utility knife wing.
Pros:
- Crazy defensive stats. Was 5th in “stocks” (steals + blocks) per-36 with 4.4, trailing only centers.
- Aggressive getting into passing lanes, and attacking the ball on defense.
- Ability to guard 2-4 at least on defense.
- One of the better athletes in this draft. Near the top in most statistical categories.
- Improved 3PT shooter in his Sophomore year hitting 35.9%.
- Got to the FT line the 3rd most in this class, 8.4 FTA per-36.
Cons:
- Really bad AST/TO rate of 0.45; 5th worst amongst prospects.
- A bit clunky on offense, can he maintain scoring when there are similar athletes on defense?
16. Christian Braun | 6’7″ Athletic Shooter | 21.2 yrs | Kansas (Jr)
Key Stats: 14.1 PTS, 6.5 REB, 2.8 AST, 49.5 FG%, 38.6 3P%, 73.3 FT%
NBA Comps: Tim Hardaway Jr
Outlook: While Braun’s teammate Ochai Agbaji is getting more hype as a shooter coming out of Kansas, Braun offers a more complete package to go along with his solid shot. Braun is capable of being a secondary playmaker and also finishing above the rim in half court and transition. Think he’s one of the more underrated scorers in this year’s draft.
Pros:
- Good shooter, hitting 38.6% from three.
- Total gamer, had some clutch closeout shots for Kansas in the tournament.
- Nice athlete when given space, can finish in the open floor and when he has a lane in the half-court.
- Good lateral quickness helps him stick with ball-handlers on defense.
- Showed some nice flashes of passing ability with 2.8 AST.
Cons:
- Shot has a bit of a dip in it, which slows the release.
- Only attempted 3.5 3PA per-36.
- Not great operating out of the pick-and-roll with the ball in his hands.
17. MarJon Beauchamp | 6’6.5″ Athletic Hustle Player | 21.7 yrs | G League Ignite
Key Stats: 15.1 PTS, 7.3 REB, 2.5 AST, 1.6 STL, 57.1 FG%, 24.2 3P%, 65 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: MarJon Beauchamp was one of the most impacted by the covid delay it seems. He played a year at Yakima Valley College before ultimately joining the G League Ignite to continue chasing his NBA dream. While Beauchamp didn’t shot great from three, he’s a really athletic hustle player who will defend and finish at the rim. He projects as solid defensive, rebounding wing with the potential for more.
Pros:
- Throws down some hammer dunks in transition.
- Physical, willing to take contact in the paint and finish
- Can really defend 1v1, probably his best attribute. Moves feet well laterally.
- Attacks closeouts and finishes hard at the rim.
- Showed some playmaking ability.
- Hit some mid-range pull-up jumpers, hope for 3P in the future?
Cons:
- Wasn’t a great shooter, limits his upside.
- Already nearly 22 years old, his path stunted his development a bit.
- Slow pull-up jumper can be prone to getting blocked.
- Needs to improve his TO rate.
18. Wendell Moore | 6’5.5″ Playmaking Defender | 20.8 yrs | Duke (Jr)
Key Stats: 13.4 PTS, 5.3 REB, 4.4 AST, 1.4 STL, 50 FG%, 41.3 3P%, 80.5 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Out of all the Duke players, Moore might be the most underappreciated. Moore basically acted as the primary playmaker in a starting lineup filled with wings. He was whatever Duke needed him to be and succeeded in virtually all facets. Has the potential to be a really good glue guy in the NBA.
Pros:
- Versatility is his best attribute.
- Had the 5th best AST/TO ratio among all prospects at 2.32.
- Can easily be one of the better secondary playmakers in this draft, can run the PNR.
- Always makes the extra pass decisively.
- Really versatile defender who can guard 1-4.
- Improved his 3P shot a lot each year, from 21% Freshman year to 41% Junior year.
Cons:
- Not a vertical, or above the rim player.
- His shot can look mechanical at times.
- Needs to improve his pull-up range to be able to shoot when teams drop off him in PNR.
19. Ousmane Dieng | 6’10” Skilled Forward | 19.1 yrs | New Zealand Breakers
Key Stats: 8.9 PTS, 3.2 REB, 1.1 AST, 39.8 FG%, 27.1 3P%, 66.7 FT%
NBA Comps: Nic Batum
Outlook: Ousmane Dieng has developed into the top international prospect in this year’s draft. Nearly all of his hype is built off his elite size and flashes of skill. After a very rough start in the first half of his season for the NZ Breakers, Dieng improved his shooting in the second half. While his size and skill are tantalizing, his efficiency numbers in the NBL weren’t great, although neither were LaMelo’s and he turned out just fine. The mid to late teens are where I feel comfortable taking a chance on the upside of Dieng.
Pros:
- Ideal size for a point forward, 6’10” with a 7’0″ wingspan.
- Good ball-handler for his size.
- Shows glimpses of shooting off the dribble, step-backs.
- Uses a floater in the lane when drive is cutoff.
- Looked good defensively due to size and lateral quickness.
Cons:
- Bad shooting numbers for the NZ Breakers, sub 40 FG% and 30 3P%.
- Negative AST/TO ratio of 0.79.
- Avoids contact going to the rim, will need to improve strength and mentality to fully utilize his size.
20. Kendall Brown | 6’7.5″ Athletic Wing | 19.1 yrs | Baylor (Fr)
Key Stats: 9.7 PTS, 4.9 REB, 1.9 AST, 58.4 FG%, 34.1 3P%, 68.9 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Brown, along with Sochan, are two big and long wings out of Baylor. In Brown, I see more upside due to his natural athleticism and mobility. Early in the year he also displayed some nice playmaking ability.
Pros:
- Showed some passing ability. Makes quick decisions and passes.
- Quick enough to stay with guards, and big enough to smother them.
- Great size and length (6’11.00″ wingspan).
- Sprints the floor in transition, has a eurostep.
- Shows the ability to handle at times.
Cons:
- Solid 3P% but only 29% catch and shoot in the half court.
- Shot form is a bit mechanical.
- Handle a bit too loose at this stage.
- Can get beat on closeouts fairly quickly.
21. Jalen Williams | 6’5.75″ Playmaking Wing | 21.1 yrs | Santa Clara (Jr)
Key Stats: 18 PTS, 4.4 REB, 4.2 AST, 51.3 FG%, 39.6 3P%, 80.9 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Williams is a late riser on draft boards after some scouts admitted to not giving him any attention, despite playing in the same conference as Gonzaga. Williams is definitely a skill over raw talent type of prospect, but projects well as a secondary play-maker who can hit threes off the ball.
Pros:
- One of the better PNR ball-handlers in the draft. Carried the offensive play-making for Santa Clara.
- Patient and crisp passer, should translate to the next level.
- Good three-point shooter who is able to hit pull-up threes against drop PNR coverage.
- Great 7’2.25″ wingspan for his size, helps him to recover defensively.
Cons:
- Not the quickest defensively, can be beat.
- Less clear of an offensive role if he can’t have the ball in his hands regularly.
- Shot is solid, but pull-up is a bit of a slow release.
22. Ochai Agbaji | 6’5.75″ Shooter | 22.2 yrs | Kansas (Sr)
Key Stats: 18.8 PTS, 5.1 REB, 47.5 FG%, 40.7 3P%, 74.3 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Agbaji really improved in his time at Kansas and ended up an NCAA champion as the most outstanding player of the tournament. What’s really impressive is his high efficiency while taking a high volume of shots. While his ceiling isn’t as great as others, his floor may be around the highest in this draft. You know you’re getting a solid 3&D player here.
Pros:
- Honed his skill to shoot from the outside hitting 40.7% of his 3P on 37 3PA per-36.
- Compact shot, quick shot with a high release point.
- Has some defensive upside due to size and athleticism.
- Good movement off the ball to get himself free.
- Worked off multiple NBA actions to get the ball.
Cons:
- Not much there offensively besides shooting.
- Not a good passer, negative AST/TO ratio
23. Jeremy Sochan | 6’9″ Multi-positional Defender | 19.1 yrs | Baylor (Fr)
Key Stats: 9.2 PTS, 6.4 REB, 1.3 STL, 47.4 FG%, 29.6 3P%, 58.9 FT%
NBA Comps: Brandon Clarke
Outlook: Sochan projects as a multi-positional defender who has the lateral quickness to defend guards/wings and the size to guard forwards. While I do like his defensive versatility, I’m not as sure he’ll be quite the lockdown defender others do. That really limits his upside in my view, as his shooting is a huge question mark. Still Sochan is worth a first round pick due to his plug and play defensive abilities.
Pros:
- Good lateral quickness on defense.
- Size allows him to defend bigger forwards and maybe be a small-ball center eventually.
- Very active on defense, always closes out shooters.
- Has good verticality when contesting at the rim.
Cons:
- Poor 3P shooting, projected improvement may be overhyped.
- 58.9 FT% is worrisome, will it keep him off the court in important stretches?
- Not the most vertical athlete, could struggle contesting at the rim.
24. Josh Minott | 6’8″ Athletic Defender | 20.4 yrs | Memphis (Fr)
Key Stats: 6.6 PTS, 3.8 REB, 0.8 STL, 0.7 BLK, 52.2 FG%, 14.3 3P%, 75.4 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Following in the mold of Eason, Minott is another tall, long wing who has great defensive stats. He’s even more raw offensively, unable to hit any shots from beyond the arc currently; but did have a good free throw percentage which is usually a good indicator of shooting potential. What Minott lacks in shooting he makes up for in hustle, showing one of the better motors in the class. At this point, I’d take a home run swing on Minott.
Pros:
- Very good defensive stats, second only to Eason on “stocks” outside of big men, had 3.7 per-36.
- Great motor, often chased down blocks in transition.
- Really good rebounder for a wing, averaged 9.4 rebounds per-36.
Cons:
- Literally no outside shot at the current stage.
- Can be skittish at times with the ball in his hands, not quite comfortable handling yet.
- One of the biggest projects in the draft, will take a few years to develop.
25. E.J. Liddell | 6’7″ Rim Protecting Forward | 21.5 yrs | Ohio State (Jr)
Key Stats: 19.4 PTS, 7.9 REB, 2.5 AST, 2.6 BLK, 49 FG%, 37.4 3P%, 76.4 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Liddell was one of the more productive players in college from this year’s draft class. His shot blocking and team defense are what translate best to the pro-level. The majority of his scoring came from the post in college, which might get taken away in the NBA. If he’s able to knock down the three reliably, he can carve out a 3&D role at forward and small ball center.
Pros:
- Good length for his size 6’11.75″.
- One of the better shot blockers in draft despite only being 6’7″.
- 4th in “stocks” among non-bigs with 3.5.
- Really smart defender, can stick with guards on switches and contest.
- Good post player, should be able to score from there in spots in the NBA.
- Much improved 3P shooter off the ball, helps give him an NBA role.
Cons:
- Not great at face-up drives currently, limits offensive upside.
- Can be a bit slow on switches against the quicker guards, which is part of his appeal.
26. Dalen Terry | 6’7.25″ Playmaking Wing | 20 yrs | Arizona (So)
Key Stats: 8 PTS, 4.8 REB, 3.9 AST, 1.2 STL, 50.2 FG%, 36.4 3P%, 73.6 FT%
NBA Comps: Trevor Ariza
Outlook: Terry put his name in the ring, and ultimately was a surprise when he announced he was staying in the 2022 NBA Draft, likely indicating a promise. He is a wiry, active wing who played as a secondary playmaker, averaging 3.9 assists from the wing position.
Pros:
- His passing from the wing position 3.9 AST, make him one of the more unique players in the draft.
- Uses his long arms, 7’0.75″ wingspan, to get into passing lanes to turn defense into offense.
- Upside as a corner shooter, gets to the rim fast when attacking closeouts.
- Good off the ball cutter.
Cons:
- Shot well at 36.4 3P%, but don’t entire trust his mechanics some kind of hitch.
- Not much mid-range game when he gets run off the line but can’t get to the rim.
- A bit thin to guard more than NBA 3s at the moment.
27. Johnny Davis | 6’5.75″ Combo Guard | 20.3 yrs | Wisconsin (So)
Key Stats: 19.7 PTS, 8.2 REB, 2.1 AST, 42.7 FG%, 30.6 3P%, 79.1 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Johnny Davis was the focal point of a Wisconsin team . Due to this, he shot at a high volume with low efficiency. He’s unlikely to be put in a similar role in the NBA on any decent team, and his off-ball shooting isn’t great. At the very least he projects as a plus perimeter defender, with an unclear role on offense.
Pros:
- Tough, competitive player.
- Projects as a plus perimeter defender due to size+length and motor.
- Was forced to create his own shot at Wisconsin and did so successfully.
- Lived in the mid-range, hit turnaround jumpers from 8-12 feet and some face-up jumpers.
Cons:
- Negative AST/TO ratio at 0.91, clearly more of a scorer than playmaker.
- Inefficient shooting numbers on high volume.
- Doesn’t get much lift on his drives, relies on body contact to create separation.
- Not a believer in his ability to consistently hit 3s off the ball.
28. Trevor Keels | 6’4.75″ | 19.1 yrs | Duke (Fr)
Key Stats: 11.5 PTS, 3.4 REB, 2.7 AST, 41.9 FG%, 31.2 3P%, 67 FT%
NBA Comps: Lu Dort
Outlook: Keels was a highly rated high school prospect who was forced into a role as a 3rd or 4th option on a Duke team that will potentially have five 1st round picks. While he’s not overly quick or hoppy, Keels has good strength and passing ability. His 31.2 3P% didn’t do his shot form justice, he was a good shooter in high school so can see this number rebounding. Keels’ NBA role will depend upon him reclaiming his shot, if he does Keels can be a good 3&D prospect who can make plays off of closeouts.
Pros:
- Really strong guard who can get to the rim through contact.
- Surprisingly good passer, can be a secondary play-maker.
- Was a gamer for Duke in the tournament, hit some big shots.
Cons:
- Not much lift, 31″ max vertical.
- Lack of quickness hurts his defensive upside.
29. Jake LaRavia | 6’8″ Versatile Forward | 20.6 yrs | Wake Forest (Jr)
Key Stats: 14.6 PTS, 6.6 REB, 3.7 AST, 55.9 FG%, 38.4 3P%, 77.7 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: LaRavia transferred to Wake Forest from Indiana State and was actually more effective against a tougher slate of opponents. LaRavia can contribute in multiple ways — as a shooter, play-maker and defensively. He projects as a versatile role player at the next level.
Pros:
- Put up some of the best defensive stats among non-bigs — 2.8 “stocks” per-36.
- Was 3rd in Lane Agility and 2nd in Shuttle Run drills at the NBA Combine.
- Closeout attacks turn into methodical post possessions.
- Really good passer for his size, averaged 3.7 ASTs.
- Good shooter, hit 38.4% from three but more of catch-and-shoot than movement.
Cons:
- Quickness from Combine drills doesn’t always show up on tape.
- Hasn’t shown the ability to shoot off the bounce yet.
30. Dereon Seabron | 6’5.75″ Athletic Slasher | 22.1 yrs | NC State (So)
Key Stats: 17.3 PTS, 8.2 REB, 3.2 AST, 49.1 FG%, 25.6 3P%, 71.3 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Seabron had to redshirt his freshman year due to academic ineligibility, making him an older Sophomore. This past season Seabron was tasked with being the primary ball-handler for a not great NC State team. It did allow him work on his play-making ability, but Seabron really thrives going to the rim in both half court and transition. He projects as an slasher and defender, with unlimited upside if he can fix his shot and improve his handle.
Pros:
- 80% of his shots came at the rim.
- Athletic wing who can weave through traffic to get to the rack.
- Loves to push in the open floor, gets the rim quickly and has a euro-step counter.
- Got to the line 6.3 FTA per game. Shot a solid 71.3% from the line.
- Was able to kick out on his drives to create easy looks for teammates.
- Showed ability to defend guys 1 v 1, needs to improve consistency.
Cons:
- Poor outside shooting could limit his upside.
- Ball handling is a bit loose, gets stripped at times.
- Already 22 years old, will he ever develop these skills?
31. John Butler | 7’0.75″ Tall Shooter | 19.6 yrs | Florida State (Fr)
Key Stats: 5.9 PTS, 3.2 REB, 1.2 BLK, 41.6 FG%, 39.3 3P%, 44 FT%
NBA Comps: Jonathan Isaac
Outlook: This is basically the point in the draft where I think it’s worth taking a large swing for the fences. Butler is ranked low in the second round as he’s a huge project, literally. But his size and shooting ability are enticing, if he adds some weight he might be one of the steals of the draft in a few years.
Pros:
- Really good three point shooter for his size.
- Huge frame for a wing, 7’0.75″ tall and 7’2.25″ wingspan.
- Showed the ability to block shots on the weak side.
Cons:
- 44 FT% is scary desptie small sample size. Thought it was a typo.
- Cannot finish at all around the rim right now due to lack of strength, only 174 lbs.
- Total project. If the shooting was just an aberration he has no chance of success.
32. Blake Wesley | 6’4″ Scoring Guard | 19.3 yrs | Notre Dame (Fr)
Key Stats: 14.4 PTS, 3.7 REB, 2.4 AST, 40.4 FG%, 30.3 3P%, 65.7 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Blake Wesley is one of the more talented offensive prospects in this class. He shows the ability to create shots off the dribble and at times knock them down. The key to his success will be consistency shooting the ball.
Pros:
- Flashed some really nice shot creation his freshman year.
- Quick pull-up shot off the dribble.
- Has the tools to be good on defense, should be able to guard 1-3 at his size/length
- Showed the ability to pick off passes in passing lanes and get easy buckets.
Cons:
- Efficiency numbers were not the best.
- Left handed finishing is not good.
- Lacked the strength to finish at the rim.
- Not consistent on the defensive end despite his tools.
33. Jaylin Williams | 6’10” Smart Post Defender | 20 yrs | Arkansas (So)
Key Stats: 10.9 PTS, 9.8 REB, 2.6 AST, 1.3 STL, 1.1 BLK, 46.1 FG%, 23.9 3P%, 72.9 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: In a class full of great big men, Williams is actually not
Pros:
- Drew a lot of charges this past year. Smart defender
- Good at hedging and retreating in PNR defense.
- Shows some passing ability for a big man. Makes quick reads and passes on short roll.
- Some playmaking and smarts as a big man with a 1.44 AST/TO rate.
- Can protect the rim with verticality and strength, despite lack of shotblocking.
Cons:
- Not overly athletic, can’t throw it down. Only a 30″ max vertical.
- Decent form, but poor 3P%in reality.
- Finishing at the rim wasn’t always great for a big man.
34. Christian Koloko | 7’0″ Rim Protector | 22 yrs | Arizona (Jr)
Key Stats: 12.6 PTS, 7.3 REB, 2.8 BLK, 63.5 FG%, 0 3P%, 73.5 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: In a draft class full of shot blockers, it was a tough call between Kessler and Koloko, but went with Koloko due to his better mobility and upside to guard on switches.
Pros:
- Ideal size and length for center, 7’5.25″ wingspan.
- Mobile big who can rotate over to block shots, good range.
- Shows good verticality.
- Was able to handle guards in drop PNR coverage.
- Lob threat.
- Quick off the floor to dunk.
Cons:
- Limited touch near the rim, other than dunks.
- Not perfect at switches, but has potential.
- Literally doesn’t have a shot.
35. Walker Kessler | 7’1″ Shot Blocker | 20.9 yrs | Auburn (So)
Key Stats: 11.6 PTS, 8.1 REB, 4.6 BLK, 60.8 FG%, 20 3P%, 59.6 FT%
NBA Comps: JaVale McGee
Outlook: Kessler had one of the all-time blocks seasons at Auburn last year. He has a clear role at the next level as a rim protector and rim runner. There isn’t much upside to his shooting, and he had some trouble with smaller guards, but he is certainly an NBA player.
Pros:
- The most blocks per-36 in this draft class with 6.5 BLK. 19% block rate one of the best ever.
- Good verticality on drives, absorbs contact and stays vertical.
- Standing reach is 9’5″.
- Half court finishes at 72.7%, very effective roll man.
- Can catch short roll pass and get to the rim with zero dribbles.
Cons:
- Struggled on switches with smaller guards at times.
- Poor free throw shooter at 59%.
- Tried to hit 3s, but not efficient. Has a kind of side loaded shot form over his right shoulder.
36. Gabriele Procida | 6’7.75″ Shooting Forward | 20.1 yrs | Bologna
Key Stats: 7 PTS, 3 REB, 0.7 STL, 52.2 FG%, 38.3 3P%, 78.4 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Procida is a pretty good shooting prospect, who is likely a stash candidate. His shooting numbers last year were good but could use more playing time before making the jump.
Pros:
- Can run the floor in transition, and finish above the rim.
- Hits 3s in transition.
- Can hit pull-up Js after lulling defense to sleep.
Cons:
- Not a great passer or defender.
37. Hugo Besson | 6’5.75″ Shot Creator | 19.1 yrs | New Zealand Breakers
Key Stats: 13.9 PTS, 4 REB, 2.3 AST, 38.6 FG%, 30.8 3P%, 79.5 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Besson is a live dribble shot creator who can
Pros:
- Loves to shoot off the dribble, hitting many stepbacks.
- Quick, compact shooting form.
- Fairly quick on a live dribble, good handle.
- Can get to the rim and isn’t afraid of contact.
- Showed some good playmaking potential.
Cons:
- Not the best efficiency numbers playing for NZ Breakers.
38. Julian Champagnie | 6’7.75″ Shooting Forward | 21 yrs | St. John’s (Jr)
Key Stats: 19.2 PTS, 6.6 REB, 2 AST, 2 STL, 1.1 BLK, 41.4 FG%, 33.7 3P%, 78.1 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: After a solid Sophomore season at St. John’s, Champagnie was pegged as a potential breakout star. His counting stats largely stayed the same, while his efficiency went down. Still Champagnie possesses good shot making ability and athleticism for his size and is worth an early second round pick.
Pros:
- Good shooting form, although there was a regression in 3P%.
- Live athlete, can take the ball to the rim.
- Took and made a lot of tough shots at St. John’s in his career.
- Put up good defensive stats, 3.3 “stocks” per-36.
Cons:
- Efficiency dropped from Sophomore to Junior year.
- Might be kind of a tweener at the next level defensively.
39. David Roddy | 6’6″ Physical Skilled Wing | 21.3 yrs | Colorado State (Jr)
Key Stats: 19.2 PTS, 7.5 REB, 2.9 AST, 57.1 FG%, 43.8 3P%, 69.1 FT%
NBA Comps: PJ Tucker
Outlook: Roddy played at Colorado State where he was insanely effective. He has a wide, powerful build, but can also play with some finesse and shot the ball well. From a smaller school, but one of the more likeable sleeper picks in the draft. Could be a PJ Tucker type in the NBA.
Pros:
- Big, strong body allows him to overpower smaller defenders on his way to the rim.
- Plays out of the post often, shows good footwork.
- Pretty good handle in isolation for his build.
- Good rebounder for his size, can see him playing some stretch four.
Cons:
- Are numbers inflated playing for a small school?
- Is he too slow to guard wings, and too short to guard bigs?
40. Nikola Jovic | 6’11” Skilled Forward | 19.1 yrs | KK Mega Bemax
Key Stats: 11.7 PTS, 4.4 REB, 3.4 AST, 42.8 FG%, 35.6 3P%, 75.4 FT%
NBA Comps: Jovic was at one point considered the top international prospect and a potential lottery pick. Due to an inconsistent season and glaringly bad defense Jovic has dropped on most boards, but still flashes rare passing ability and shooting for a player his size. He’s worth a late first or early second round pick.
Outlook:
Pros:
- Really skilled for his size, can handle the ball well.
- Likes to score in the mid-post area, taking advantage of his size.
- Streaky from 3PT, but shot well enough.
- Pretty good playmaker for his size, you can see the natural vision and passing ability.
Cons:
- Pretty bad individual on-ball defense.
- Poor at left handed finishes.
41. Jaden Hardy | 6’4″ Volume Shooter | 20 yrs | G League Ignite
Key Stats: 17.7 PTS, 4.6 REB, 3.2 AST, 35.1 FG%, 26.9 3P%, 88.2 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Jaden Hardy was one of the top prospects in the 2021 High School classes and decided to forego college for the G League Ignite. While there he showed flashes of talent, but mostly disappointed in terms of efficiency. It’s tough to see what his role is at the next level if he’s not a primary ball-handler, possibly a microwave bench scorer.
Pros:
- Shows the ability to shoot off the dribble, out to 3PT range.
- Can take the ball straight to the hoop.
Cons:
- One of the most inefficient players in the entire draft class, 35% from the field.
- Has a strange scissor kick when going up for his shot.
- Don’t see the separation ability, speed that warrants first round selection.
42. Matteo Spagnolo | 6’5.5″ Shooter | 19.5 yrs | Vanoli Cremana
Key Stats: 12.2 PTS, 3.5 REB, 2.6 AST, 44 FG%, 44.1 3P%, 86.1 FT%
NBA Comps: N/A
Outlook: Spagnolo is a crafty shooter, who is likely a stash candidate that would spend a couple years overseas before seeing the NBA.
Pros:
- Had the 3rd best shooting percentage in the class.
- Mainly a shooter who can make some plays off closeouts.
- Has pretty flashy handles and passes.
Cons:
- Not the quickest off the dribble, relies on craft for separation.
- Shooting way better than previous years and on smallish sample size, is it real?
- Not the best defender vs quick guards.
- Had an even AST/TO ratio.
43. Ryan Rollins | 6’4″ Scoring Playmaker | 20 yrs | Toledo (So)
Key Stats: 18.9 PTS, 6 REB, 3.6 AST, 46.8 FG%, 31.1 3P%, 80.2 FT%
NBA Comps: Jordan Poole
Outlook: Rollins played the second weakest schedule out of all collegiate prospects at Toledo, but showed off some impressive shot creation which could translate to the next level.
Pros:
- Comfortable shooting off the dribble.
- Pull-up range beyond the 3PT line, but better in the mid-range.
- Crafty at getting to the rim and finishing.
- Has a good change of pace to create separation.
- Solid passer, able to operate the PNR at Toledo
Cons:
- Played the second weakest schedule of all collegiate prospects, -3.22 SOS.
- Poor 3PT shooting at 31.1%, could limit his upside.
- Poor 1 v 1 defense.
44. Max Christie | 6’5.75″ Shooter | 19.4 yrs | Michigan State (Fr)
45. Bryce McGowens | 6’6.5″ Scoring Forward | 19.6 yrs | Nebraska (Fr)
46. Justin Lewis | 6’7.5″ Defensive Wing | 20.2 yrs | Marquette (Fr)
47. Jordan Hall | 6’8″ Point Forward | 20.5 yrs | St. Joseph’s (So)
Pros:
- Great size for a passer.
- Really good vision and delivery of passes all around the court.
- Improved 3PT shooter hitting 36.3%.
Cons:
- Pretty bad on defense, often gets beat to the rim.
48. Khalifa Diop | 6’11” PlayerType | 20.4 yrs | Gran Canaria
49. Alondes Williams | 6’5″ PlayerType | 23 yrs | Wake Forest (Jr)
50. Trevion Williams | 6’8.75″ Passing Big | 21.8 yrs | Purdue (Sr)
Pros:
- One of the best passing bigs in the draft.
- Excellent distributing out of post-ups.
Cons:
- Defense is bad, let’s guys through easily.
51. Ziga Samar 6’6″ Pass First Point | 21.4 yrs | Urbas Fuenlabrada
52. Dominick Barlow | 6’9.75″ Shooting Forward | 19.4 yrs | School (Fr)
Pros:
- Hits corner threes
- Some ability to attack closeouts
- Attempts to pass ahead after getting the rebound
53. Keon Ellis | 6’4.75″ 3&D Wing | 22.5 yrs | Alabama (Sr)
Outlook: Only played two years at Alabama, transferring from Florida SouthWestern State College.
54. Jean Montero | 6’2.25″ Driving Guard | 19 yrs | CB Gran Canaria
55. Iverson Molinar | 6’3.25″ Slashing Guard | 22.6 yrs | Mississippi State (Jr)
Pros:
- Quick guard, can get to the rim.
Cons:
- Poor 3PT shooter at 25%.
56. Patrick Baldwin Jr | 6’10.25″ Shooting Wing | 19.4 yrs | Milwaukee (Fr)
Pros:
- Great height at 6’10” for a shooting forward.
Cons:
- Weakest strength of schedule faced among all collegiate prospects (-6.32)
- Really bad efficiency across the board for a highly touted prospect.
- Worst max vertical leap of all participants at the combine (26.5″)
57. Andrew Nembhard | 6’4.5″ Point Guard | 22.4 yrs | Gonzaga (Sr)
Pros:
- Best AST/TO rate in the entire draft (3.05)
Cons:
- Not really that athletic, dependent on PNR to create space.
58. Kofi Cockburn | 7’0″ Physical Big | 22.8 yrs | Illinois (Jr)
Pros:
- Dominant physical presence.
Cons:
- Literally no semblance of a jump shot.
59. Jabari Walker | 6’8″ Energy Forward | 19.9 yrs | Colorado (So)
60. Caleb Houstan | 6’8″ Shooter | 19.5 yrs | Michigan (Fr)
Pros:
- Solid looking shooting stroke.
Cons:
- Can’t jump over a phone book.